I tend to agree with at least decriminalisation, and definitely am opposed to the War on (Some) Drugs, but all the same, I can’t help reading this and thinking, “Correlation. Causation. Not the same thing.”
“Correlation. Causation. Not the same thing.”
Exactly.
Also: “Figures don’t lie but liars sure figure”
But it sure doesn’t seem to point to any “blood on the highway” situation. They have been running some “Don’t drive stoned” commercials, maybe they work.
I tend to agree with at least decriminalisation, and definitely am opposed to the War on (Some) Drugs, but all the same, I can’t help reading this and thinking, “Correlation. Causation. Not the same thing.”
It could be that people who normally do pot had to drive a long way to get to their dealer and when they drove they drove paranoid. Now they relax drive to the dispensary buy more with less money and now have less need to be on the road to meet their dealer in some random back alley.
Or it could simply be the economy is getting so bad that gas is expensive meaning people are driving less...
Correlation is not causation. Indeed, it’s the first thing that one learns when this topic is taught in statistics. Unfortunately, it is often forgotten when statistical correlations are calculated.
However, when one predicts a future event, and that event does not happen, he deserves to lose all benefit of the doubt. Reality has demonstrated that his prediction was wrong, and it is reasonable to suspect his presumptions, prejudices, methods, and models.
The WOD promoters predicted carnage on the highways and an increase in underage marijuana consumption following Colorado’s legalization. Neither has happened; in fact, the opposite has occurred. Personally, I doubt that legalization had much to do with either phenomena, but the drug warriors’ predictions were, as a matter of fact, wrong and the legalizers have been, as a matter of fact, correct so far.
Conservatives should apply the same criterion to the prognostications of drug warriors that they apply to global warming alarmists. If global warming alarmists predict decadal increases in global temperature, and the satellite data indicate no change in seventeen years, it is reasonable call the alarmists wrong. (James Hansen predicted monotonic decadal increases in global temperature. He was, as a matter of fact, wrong.) Since so many profit from climate change alarmism, it’s even reasonable to suspect that the whole thing is a scam. Same applies to the WOD.