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Phoenix Real Estate in July: Sales down 17%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up 35%
Calculated Risk Blog ^ | 8-5-2014 | Bill McBride

Posted on 08/06/2014 8:13:03 AM PDT by Citizen Zed

1) Overall sales in July were down 17% year-over-year and at the lowest for June since 2008.

2) Cash Sales (frequently investors) were down about 43% to less than 25% of total sales. Non-cash sales were down only about 3% year-over-year.  So the decline in sales is probably mostly due to less investor buying.

3) Active inventory is now increasing rapidly and is up 35% year-over-year - and at the highest level for July since 2011 (when prices bottomed in Phoenix).

(Excerpt) Read more at calculatedriskblog.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: arizona
Good times. /S
1 posted on 08/06/2014 8:13:03 AM PDT by Citizen Zed
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To: Citizen Zed

How unexpected!!


2 posted on 08/06/2014 8:21:29 AM PDT by rbg81
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To: Citizen Zed

Have you ever been to Phoenix in July. If so you might have booked a room in Death Valley to cool off.


3 posted on 08/06/2014 8:31:47 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: Citizen Zed

If Houses stop selling in the era of 4% Fixed 30 Year Mortgages, we are in deeper doo doo than anyone imagined.


4 posted on 08/06/2014 8:32:52 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (Things can always be worse and the Democrat Party is here to prove it.)
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To: InterceptPoint

I live in Arizona. Anything below 110 in the summer is very easy to deal with. It is only when you get 110+ temperatures that you start to feel it. And when we get the week or 2 of 115-120 that is when you start to choke. That is when you see all these cars on the side of the road. If at all possible you want to stay inside and rune your errands when the sun goes down. It is the safest option.


5 posted on 08/06/2014 8:38:42 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: Citizen Zed
I've been to Phoenix in June UPTEEN times to visit my maternal grandparents.

My father took us to Chicago for one year--a job. I still have a photo of my sister and me. The only way to tell the difference between us under all those warm clothes was that I was the shorter girl.

It STILL costs about $400.00/month to cool or heat the home in those climates during their summer/winter.

Brutal either way.

I also know heat and humidity because my husband and I lived 100 yards from the Persian/Arabian Gulf in Saudi Arabia for five years. It's about 115 degrees there now, with 95% humidity and 95-degree water temperature. I don't EVER complain about heat anymore...ever.

6 posted on 08/06/2014 8:40:07 AM PDT by cloudmountain
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To: GilGil
After our five years in Saudi Arabia, on the Gulf, I start getting uncomfortable at 103 degrees. I acclimated too well, imho.

Now I'm too often cold!

7 posted on 08/06/2014 8:41:35 AM PDT by cloudmountain
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To: GilGil

Before A.C. hit Saudi Arabia, no one came outside until the sun went down. Life BEGAN at sunset. Still does because of the BRUTALITY of their normal weather.


8 posted on 08/06/2014 8:43:12 AM PDT by cloudmountain
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To: GilGil
I have four sisters in the Phoenix area. About 15 years ago (?) there was a spat of truly hot weather where the asphalt at the airport was melting and they couldn't land planes.

I was told that they didn't want to freak people out so they reported that the temp was 118 when it was really about 130.

9 posted on 08/06/2014 8:44:52 AM PDT by Slyfox (Satan's goal is to rub out the image of God he sees in the face of every human.)
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To: GilGil

“I live in Arizona. Anything below 110 in the summer is very easy to deal with. It is only when you get 110+ temperatures that you start to feel it. And when we get the week or 2 of 115-120 that is when you start to choke. That is when you see all these cars on the side of the road. If at all possible you want to stay inside and rune your errands when the sun goes down. It is the safest option.”

My Father retired there a number of years ago. Before his death some 10 years ago, I use to visit him. In Tempe, where he lived, we went down around Arizona State University Stadium (where they use to play the Fiesta Bowl) to a restaurant one time and had to walk down a street that had brick buildings. It was mid day in August and the hot bricks from the buildings on either side of us plus the 110 degree heat nearly cooked me.


10 posted on 08/06/2014 8:49:23 AM PDT by upbeat5
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To: Citizen Zed

One of my nephews lives in Arizona, I think in the Phoenix area. I hope that he moves back to Florida, near his family.


11 posted on 08/06/2014 8:50:41 AM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: Citizen Zed

Phoenix in July?

I’d rather visit a rodent petting zoo...


12 posted on 08/06/2014 8:52:03 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: GilGil

You are all like ants with the sun bearing down on you
ZAP! Your fried!


13 posted on 08/06/2014 11:24:05 AM PDT by minnesota_bound
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It truly just isn’t that bad when you get acclimated.

There are 4 months of heat, while the other 8 months are pretty darn good.

I traded 6 months in the icebox of New Hampshire for 8 months of sunny, dry, cool weather in Phoenix. New Hampshire also had a lot of rain in the summer. With rain almost every other day during the summer, you still had to stay inside. When you could go outside, it was black fly season or mosquito season or horse flies and ticks.

And liberalism.

I have Constitutional Carry here.


14 posted on 08/06/2014 11:48:07 AM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: cloudmountain
Life BEGAN at sunset. Still does because of the BRUTALITY of their normal weather.

I live in northern Ohio in a very Arab neighborhood. Noticed that many of them stay up all night. Then it dawned on me that they come from a desert region where it's very hot during the day. Even if transplanted to a cold climate, Arabs stay up at night.
15 posted on 08/06/2014 12:00:56 PM PDT by neefer (Because you can't starve us out and you can't make us run.)
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To: cloudmountain

It was95 yesterday after a rain storm an I was cold.


16 posted on 08/06/2014 12:59:50 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil
It was95 yesterday after a rain storm an I was cold.

PUT ON YOUR WINTER WOOLIES FOR A BIT.

When I lived in the KSA I got used to the heat:
--105º starting in April then 117º June through October and sometimes even until mid November
--Slowly down to the mid 50's at Christmas through March, then slowly back up to the 100s. December was the nicest month.

Now I'm in a climate where it's 50-55º all year around with a VERY slight dip/rise in the dead of winter/middle of summer.
--No flies or mosquitoes, ever. Just too cold for them.
--I forgot to mention the daily westerly winds picking up at about 2:00 P.M. and dying down by sunset. Keeps away all the smog of an urban area.

17 posted on 08/06/2014 5:30:58 PM PDT by cloudmountain
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To: cloudmountain

Where do you live?


18 posted on 08/07/2014 8:50:17 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: Citizen Zed

One thing about this place, it may be hot in the summer but you only have to drive an hour or so to be in a completely different climate. I was up on the Mogollon Rim last weekend and it was like being in Canada.


19 posted on 08/07/2014 10:05:01 AM PDT by ccmay (Too much Law; not enough Order.)
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To: GilGil

West Coast—Californa


20 posted on 08/07/2014 3:11:15 PM PDT by cloudmountain
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