http://www.duncansteel.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/V_2D_2.png
In order to have hit the Inmarsat rings on schedule from 20:11 @ S4E93 to New Amsterdam Ile the plane that had been averaging 485mph would have had to travel @ 560mph for the next 3 hours and then 682mph for the last hour in order to hit that last ping ring at New Amsterdam Ile — and that speed is just not possible.
Fastest he travelled was just before that — 830 miles over 1:40 or 498 mph just after turning south.
He angled east to hit those last Inmarsat pings — but how far east???
New Search area [6-26-14] is approximately S32E96 between the red and yellow flight paths on the blue final Inmarsat arc.
https://www.facebook.com/178566888854999/photos/pcb.740971779281171/740971732614509/?type=1&theater
It is ~1940 miles SSE from S4E93 — the westernmost point where and when [4:11 or 20:11] the red and yellow flight paths intersect and depart on this NTSB chart.
IOW — the plane had to have been at that point at that time per Inmarsat and the above NTSB chart and logic.
The yellow path leads to New Amsterdam Island where searchers first thought the plane flew — until they realized that it had neither the fuel nor the time to get there.
That projected flight path to New Amsterdam Island is here and shows why it was investigated but then subsequently abandoned — it couldn’t be reached at any speed — autopilot or not:
http://www.duncansteel.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/V_2D_2.png
The new search area S32E96 is 4 hours away from S4E93 — the point of decision — at a fixed ~485 mph away.
485mph is the same speed the plane flew at for the previous 3.5 hours by a live pilot to get to this point — so why would he put it on autopilot now — and to nowhere???
Furthermore and most important it is not possible to have the hit the hourly Inmarsat arcs at a fixed speed of 485mph or any other fixed speed???
There is no way that this plane was on autopilot as the officials claim. A live pilot was at the helm from start to finish making decisions.
The problem with the autopilot claim and the new search area is that the plane would have to fly the last hour at ~700mph in order to get to its search area on time — and ~625mph the hour before — meaning that it flew only ~307mph - ~308mph the 2 hours before that.
New Amsterdam Island may have been the pilot’s first choice, but after after 3.5 hours flying he may have realized that it was unreachable with the fuel he had left — and then gone to his backup plan.
Would that backup plan have been a watery suicide or another place to put the plane down???
If a watery suicide is what his backup plan was then why not just stay on course to New Amsterdam Island, let the plane run out of fuel, and drop into the drink just short of there. Why change course?? Just let it fall into the waters short of New Amsterdam Island. There was/is nothing else reachable in that area — nothing. It’s suicide either way — yellow path, red path, in-between path,....
So what would be the purpose in veering off from that heading unless it was to a place where he felt that he could put the plane down and walk or swim away???
At the point of reckoning at S4E93 at 4:11 where would the pilot have looked to head — right on, a little east to nowhere, a little more east to nowhere, further east to nowhere — or well to the east to Christmas Island and the waters south of Java???
