[ken5050]

I initially wrote my comment based upon some limited knowledge, but your query led me to do some research. It's actually about the same...but there's some wiggle room in the stats.

BUDS drop out rate is about 92%, and another 1-2% pass BUDS, but don't make the teams, for whatever reasons....so that's about a 5% chance of success.

He was projected to be a day 3 draft pick..which means rounds 4-7..and stats say that players drafted then have about 10% chance of becoming a starter..

However, man more will make a team, either via the draft, or undrafted signee. Some of these will last a few seasons, but many are cut during training camp, or in their first season. Once becoming a SEAL, they stay for many years...

[nascarnation]

Nicely done analysis!

Just read an interesting book about life as a marginal player in the NFL

It's very credible because I can compare it to my buddy's kid who spent 5 yrs in the NFL with 7 different teams.