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guaranteed winner: DENVER
(each team can only be used once per season, PITT, NE, MINN, INDY, STL, KC, ATL, SF, DAL, TN, NYG, HOUS, CLE used, 8-5)

guaranteed loser: NEW YORK GIANTS
(each team can only be used once per season, OAK, STL, INDY, PHIL, NYJ, TN, CLE, BUFF, CHI, DAL, MN, TB, GB used, 9-4)


12 posted on 12/05/2013 10:27:35 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (SOV? Strength of Victory. h2h? head-to-head)
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do not grow weary, my FRiends, of the tiebreaker vomit.

NFC TIEBREAKERS #1 OF MANY

DALLAS has clinced COMMON vs. PHILLY and therefore clinched the tiebreaker.

BEST PHILLY can do in DIV is to tie DAL @ 4-2
PHIL vs. DALLAS, 2 uncommon games
PHIL 2-0
DAL 1-1
PHIL is a game better in uncommon, therefore they will be a game worse in the 14 COMMON.

DET HAS clinched Tiebreaker vs CHI
due to head to head sweep

N.O. vs CAR
if teams split the 2 upcoming head2head ... likely will end with DIV tie ....
COMMON: both finish 2-0 in uncommon so COMMON will be tie.

N.O. has 2 non-conf losses (versus ONE for CAR). therefore, NO is very likely to get tiebreaker.
at 11-5, CAR likely gets tiebreaker if one of the final 3 NO losses is vs. TB (DIV game) or if CAR other loss is vs. NYJ (non-conf game).
SOV
N.O. vs CAR ... uncommon victories
CAR: NYG MN STL TB NE = 5+3.5+5+3+9=25.5
N.O.: AZ CHI BUFF DAL ATL = 7+6+4+7+3 = 27
But that advantage in CONF that N.O. holds is significant. N.O. just needs to split h2h and beat STL & TB.
26 posted on 12/05/2013 5:31:21 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (SOV? Strength of Victory. h2h? head-to-head)
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