“...it is a fallacy...”
Sorry Luke, but it is the truth. It is one of the principles of probability; in fact, mathematically it is even more strongly stated. Any random event, no matter how unlikely, if has a probability of happening, WILL happen given enough time.
I don't claim to be expert in the mathematics of probability, but this doesn't sound right to me.
Let us assume an event has a probability of happening once in 1M years. Which means of course a one in 1M chance for any given year. Give it a million total years, and the probability it will happen is 1:1.
In one billion years the probability of it NOT happening is 1 in 1000. In a trillion years 1 in 1M.
But the chance of anything happening, no matter how likely or unlikely, never reaches absolute, no matter how much time is involved. Really, really likely or unlikely does not equal mathematical certainty.
I especially liked the article's blithe assumption, if I was reading it right, that there is a 1 in 10M chance the universe will end this year, and that this means it will most likely come to an end in 10M years from now. That is most definitely not how probability works.