I still think the whole “bug out” idea is suicide, unless you are willing/able to do it via the back country on horseback.
The first 3% might get out before some clown with a near-empty tank runs out on the road ahead of you and you are trapped - open and vulnerable, prime pickings for people on foot or atv’s who are searching for supplies.
For the vast majority of Americans, there will be an abundance of LUCK involved in staying alive. No doubt about that, given today’s total breakdown in morality and ethics. Mad Maxville here we come..
I can do it on foot. I have the equipment at the front door ready to go. I can be in a place that is safer than a thrashed house in about 10 minutes, without a flashlight, in the dark, without glasses (which are all in the bag if I'll slow down).
Depends on the situation. I worry mostly about tornados and straight line wind damage, and wildfires than anything else.
/johnny
I have heard both sides: that bugging out will make you die, and bugging in will make you die. Only you and your tribe know your situation best.
There was an article on another prepper forum (wish I had saved it for now) about a group in lower Michigan who planned to bug-out on horseback. One weekend, they put their plan to the test. They were riding something like 75 miles, sixteen people in the line of march. By the end of the trek, none of the original horses were with the party, and thirteen of the sixteen riders had quit. That’s over an 80% attrition rate.