I still think Silver is just fed numbers, but they were correct numbers.
I think the “likely voter” construct has to be reworked.
I also think we are in a cycle where this new demographic wave will turnout in Presidential Elections but not necessarily off year elections. So 2014 might be more like 2010 and 2016 more like 2012/08. Making connections between off years and Pres years.....not really indicative.
Solved got his 08 numbers from the Obama internals. Likely did the same this time.
Asians should be voting R. Must be some fake racism claim at work.