Michael Barone, the gold standard, says Romney will win. He was correct in 2008.
No, that won’t matter to her, she wants to believe that Romney is going to lose and no evidence will convince her otherwise.
Barone knows his Congressional Districts inside out. Like, every last one in the U.S. I don’t know to what extent he polls, but he has the demographics down, the voting histories, the current pulse. He’s really amazing on this stuff.