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WHO SAYS YOU CAN'T PREDICT EARTHQUAKES ACCURATELY?
Helium.com, ^ | 3/19/11 | Terrence Aym,

Posted on 03/20/2011 12:10:53 PM PDT by STD

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To: Larry Lucido

All caps?


41 posted on 03/20/2011 1:22:30 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: dayglored

How nice, I try to be kind to others and give them the opportunity to speak. How about you?


42 posted on 03/20/2011 1:26:37 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Hussein Obama Launchs War in Libya)
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To: 100American

Naaahh...More than likely Michigan.


43 posted on 03/20/2011 1:33:29 PM PDT by mountn man (The pleasure you get from life, is equal to the attitude you put into it.)
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To: Larry Lucido
Actually, the subduction zone off coastal Japan has had 645 serious quakes from 5.0 to 7.2 since the 9.0 tremblor of 3/11/11!

Prior to the 9.0 monster there was a string of 250 similar 5.0 to 7.2 quakes. I can't YELL loud enough to get public knowledge of this quake storm out. Its really unique and fascinating. Warn your friends to assemble Go Bags, full gas tanks and a have a plan to locate each other and regroup after a disaster and escape unsafe urban locations.

44 posted on 03/20/2011 1:35:17 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: Larry Lucido
Actually, the subduction zone off coastal Japan has had 645 serious quakes from 5.0 to 7.2 since the 9.0 tremblor of 3/11/11!

Prior to the 9.0 monster there was a string of 250 similar 5.0 to 7.2 quakes. I can't YELL loud enough to get public knowledge of this quake storm out. Its really unique and fascinating. Warn your friends to assemble Go Bags, full gas tanks and a have a plan to locate each other and regroup after a disaster and escape unsafe urban locations.

45 posted on 03/20/2011 1:35:28 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: Larry Lucido
Actually, the subduction zone off coastal Japan has had 645 serious quakes from 5.0 to 7.2 since the 9.0 tremblor of 3/11/11!

Prior to the 9.0 monster there was a string of 250 similar 5.0 to 7.2 quakes. I can't YELL loud enough to get public knowledge of this quake storm out. Its really unique and fascinating.

Warn your friends and loved ones to assemble Go Bags, full gas tanks and a have a plan to locate each other and regroup after a disaster and escape unsafe urban locations.

46 posted on 03/20/2011 1:36:41 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: STD
> How nice, I try to be kind to others and give them the opportunity to speak. How about you?

I said nothing that impinged on anyone's opportunity to speak.

Sorry you were offended; my comment was not directed at you at all. It wasn't even directed at Mr. Berkland. It was directed at the usage of the euphemism "maverick", which in scientific circles is a polite way of saying very few of his peers think his ideas are correct.

How many of his articles on these predictions have been submitted, and how many accepted, by any peer-reviewed journals?

Trust me, if someone, anyone, could reliably, accurately, and specifically predict earthquakes -- specifically enough to take action on at a level that saves lives and property, not just "The animals are acting weird" or "California is overdue for The Big One" -- they'd be all over the scientific community, and be a hero to the world already. The fact that this fellow is unknown, after all these years, should tell you something about the word "maverick". That was my point.

Again, sorry that you were offended, as that wasn't my intent.

47 posted on 03/20/2011 1:41:41 PM PDT by dayglored (Listen, strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government!)
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To: SaxxonWoods
Hi Sax, You are missing the real issue. Please allow me to elaborate. There have been roughly one thousand quakes located off the eastern shore of Japan. They continue unabated even today.

The ground started shaking about 03/01/11 and hasn't stopped. I saw an earthquake map which updates in real time. It's almost like a countdown to an even more massive collapse as tectonic plates grind together. Let me see if I can find that link. The planets ringing like a church bell!

48 posted on 03/20/2011 1:44:29 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: Larry Lucido
Hi Larry, Have you seen this map? We are witnessing an EARTHQUAKE STORM, a thousand quakes larger than 5.0

http://www.japanquakemap.com/

49 posted on 03/20/2011 1:56:22 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: dayglored

Look at this map. Its a storm of quakes http://www.japanquakemap.com/


50 posted on 03/20/2011 1:57:53 PM PDT by STD (Nobel Peace Prize Winner, Imam Barak Hussein Obama Launchs a War in Libya)
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To: STD

The 80% success rate claim is misleading at best, as Berkland makes predictions covering enormous areas and huge magnitude ranges; he’s mathematically guaranteed to get hits on 1-2 of his predictions per month, through pure dumb luck.

He relies on the innummeracy of his fans,their utter lack of education in statistics and probability, and their lack of understanding of just how many earthquakes of moderate magnitudes there are “normally.”


51 posted on 03/20/2011 2:00:27 PM PDT by Strategerist (There is only so much stupidity one man can prevent - Andrew Marshall)
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To: STD

That’s not an “earthquake storm” that’s a perfectly normal aftershock sequence for a M9.0 megathrust earthquake.

Frankly I’m surprised there haven’t been more LARGE aftershocks.


52 posted on 03/20/2011 2:01:39 PM PDT by Strategerist (There is only so much stupidity one man can prevent - Andrew Marshall)
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To: STD
So?

Please don't ping me to every stupid earthquake thread you post now.

53 posted on 03/20/2011 2:07:38 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: STD
Its really unique and fascinating.

Yeah, we haven't seen anything like it, since, what, 2004 and the Sumatra quake?

Warn your friends to assemble Go Bags, full gas tanks and a have a plan to locate each other and regroup after a disaster and escape unsafe urban locations.

Gee, I never knew an earthquake in Japan could wreak so much havoc here in the Philly burbs.

Sorry, bub, but around here Democrats cause a lot more destruction than earthquakes. At least the NE Japanese coast has a good reason to be totally wrecked. They don't have that excuse in North Philly, but the end results look pretty similar to me.

Note - this is meant in no way to disparage sane planning for emergencies - having gas, a bug-out bag and a plan. You should have that in place no matter what disasters potentially lurk in your neighborhood.

54 posted on 03/20/2011 2:13:20 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: STD

No worries, STD, not attacking you. If this activity is unique I think we would be hearing from the scientific community.


55 posted on 03/20/2011 2:26:00 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Throw away your papers, blow up your TV...and set yourself free.)
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To: STD
More doom and gloom crapola, with no recognized science to back it up. Again.

Do you enjoy yourself?

56 posted on 03/20/2011 2:43:25 PM PDT by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
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To: STD
Can you recommend an online grammer tool please?

How about an online BS detector?

57 posted on 03/20/2011 2:46:22 PM PDT by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
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To: STD

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqscanv/FaultMaps/123-39_eqs.html

There are always clusters of micro-quakes preceding a larger quake, but who has time to baby sit the list?

P.S. Please don’t put me on any ping list.


58 posted on 03/20/2011 4:32:22 PM PDT by Excellence (Buy Progresso, take off the label, write "not halal," mail to Campbell's soup company.)
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To: mountn man

THX THX.


59 posted on 03/20/2011 4:39:56 PM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: DManA
There' an Italian scientist who has been very reliable in his short-term predictions; immnensely valuable for warning populations at risk.

His system uses, among other things, a series of radon-monitoring stations along the major-known fault lines, his theory being that radon emissions increase during fault-line stress. After he sounded the warning a week before the last big ones ... and he maximized his PR for it ... he was arrested for spreading panic, and canned from his gov-gig.

www.guardian.co.uk/.../laquila-earthquake-prediction-giampaolo-giuliani >www.guardian.co.uk/.../laquila-earthquake-prediction-giampaolo-giuliani

After his prediction panned out completely on the money, he was released from jail, but not re-hired! Not to worry, he's selling his predictions to private industry quite successfully.

He has two problems: He is politically incorrect to the max and (2) he' not a seismologist

60 posted on 03/20/2011 5:29:20 PM PDT by Kenny Bunk (America might survive Obama. But it cannot survive with the kind of people who would vote for him.)
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