Posted on 11/04/2008 9:03:58 AM PST by MHGinTN
Here's a quick and simple study for why Obama votes will not reach the projected polling data.
Let's first assume 10 democrat voters/votes from the 2006 elections and 9 Republican voters/votes. The Democrats won the '06 election by about that margin.
Now, in that 10 votes for "D" candidates in '06 there were regular voters now being characterized as PUMAs (disgruntled Hillary Democrats). From the primaries of '08 we may say there are 5 PUMA voters. If 2 of those five are so pissed off at Obama's treatment of Hilalry that they will vote for McCain/Palin, that would be a conservative count. Let's see what that does to the election we're int he middle of.
The 9 "R" voters might filter down to 8 "R" votes, just for comparisons ... we can't factor the broken glass Republicans who will vote this time but didn't bother in '06 because they were mad at the "R" for out of control spending, so the "R" might actually be 10 starting this calculation, but we'll stay with the 8 just to see what happens.
The original 10 "D" have been cut to 8 due to the disgruntled and determined PUMAs, so the "D" votes are now 8. BUT, the "R" 8 now get 2 PUMA votes, so they move to 10! Obama loses the election but the loss cannot be predicted mathematically by polling because of the assumed "D" base of votes the pollsters use to start their calculations!
For discussion, assume that the ACORN fraud votes will cancel the broken glass voters showing up this time that didn't bother to vote in '06.
Smile, have a piece of Halloween candy. The Marxist Democrat isn't going to win this election, even with his army of cheating ACORNS.
I don’t know if this is good or bad, but the lines here in Southside Hampton Roads VA are extremely heavy. I’ve never seen voter turnout like this and I’ve voted in every presidential election since the ‘60s.
The only thing that I’m concerned about is presidential elections bring out people who don’t pay attention to politics and will vote by way of a popularity contest.People who take what the MSM feed them as the truth.
I don’t mean to be a wet blanket, but that is my concern.
Glen,
I would say that “popularity contest” voters are not as motivated, although they sure show up in the polls. This election feels like 1994. I sense a temper tantrum coming on, and it will be beautiful.
Insider info shows McCain and Palin will win handily. All nervous fretting on this site today is the result of heavy troll traffic, fully expected on election day. Watch PA to be called for McCain tonight and that will set the stage for a sweeping victory.
” I sense a temper tantrum coming on, and it will be beautiful.”
I hope so. Giggety
I usually go and vote and never had a line. Usually later afternoon.
I decided to try 8am this morning for a change. There were 1500 to 200 people ahead of me. Lots of people, lots of signs around the door.
I’m in Los Angeles ... Hollywood.
Please, stop with the silly PUMA references... Anyone that thinks they’ll even be a blip on the radar should have their heads examined... They’ll NEVER go for JM, outside of a stray here and there
BTTT
I would love to know what you know.
Voters in Western PA are mad as hell at the media, Murtha, and the Obamatrons that they are going to throw Murtha out and reject the little Marxist squirrel! It’s not a secret, if you know folks living in W.PA.
This is not a toilet. Take your DUmp somewhere else.
Why do you think this?
Ping-a-ling-a-ling
bump
Thanks for the post and the ping.. I’m listening!!!!
“Please, stop with the silly PUMA references.”
Sure. Where did I reference them though?
“I’m in Los Angeles ... Hollywood.”
Ugh. I haven’t talked to my actress niece since this started. She hung up on her McCain voting father a month ago.
You are definitely behind the enemy lines there.
They may have been angry months ago... but now, there’s no way that’s still prevalent among many of them. ZeroH is her idealogical twin. On nearly everything. Hillary has been actively supporting Zero... They’ll follow her, and ZeroH, like lemmings.
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