Posted on 09/14/2008 12:57:30 AM PDT by Snurple
The Missouri bellwether is a political phenomenon that notes that the state of Missouri has voted for the winner in every U.S. Presidential election beginning in 1904 except in 1956. Missouri is also considered a bellwether of U.S. views on hot-button social issues such as stem cell research, school vouchers, and same-sex marriage. Some economists also consider the state a bellwether for economic trends such as consumer confidence and unemployment.
Friday, September 12, 2008
John McCain continues to enjoy a modest lead over Barack Obama in the race for Missouri’s Electoral College votes.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Missouri shows the Republican presidential candidate attracting 51% of the vote while his Democratic opponent earns 45%. This is similar to results from both last month and the month before. In fact, since wrapping up the Republican nomination in early March, McCain has led Obama in every poll but one.
The sole exception came in a poll conducted on June 3, the night Obama clinched the Democratic nomination. On that night, he held a statistically insignificant one-point lead over McCain.
1956 was Ike vs. Stevenson, and Stevenson was born in Los Angeles and was governor if Illinois. So why did Missouri go for the egghead over the general?
Other than that, Missouri is a hopeful harbinger here.
Sure Palin helped.
November 5 1956 Time Magazine....Missouri: Republicans are split factionally; Stevenson stands to win along with a strong state ticket. TIME
Thanks for that, Snurple.
And everyone reading this post should visit Snurple’s home page. All of it.
Yup. Missouri is both a Midwestern state and a Southern state.
I hope we get it right this time.
Six points in a “likely voter” poll is a “modest lead.” Hmmm. Ok.
We need to keep reminding ourselves ... this isn’t an election of popular votes but electoral college votes. GRRRRR!
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