But if it's just a tropical wave, it's a healthy-looking wave.
This is Inv 94L. The GFDL is an outlier in taking the storm towards the upper TX coast. The official NHC forecast takes it in around Brownsville. The current intensity forecast is just that it could be a tropical depression “at any time”.
But if it's just a tropical wave, it's a healthy-looking wave.
I had heard the upper level winds in this part of the hemisphere over the last month or so have been really ripping apart any development and or potential development of tropical systems lately...
If anything this looks to be realistically heading to the south of us, and doesn’t appear (due to course and speed) to develop anything more intense than a TS...
But then again its all a crap-shoot anyway...
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst...