Latest stats show 19.75% DECREASE in SA
We are being conned by the WHO
From:
http://www.statssa.gov.za/Publications/publicationsearch.asp?PN=fqtqz.t&PM=&PY=&PS=1
HIV/AIDS as an official cause of death in the year 2001 as available:
<1 year of age: 1.6% (1999)
1-4 years: 3.0% (down from 3.5% in 1999)
15-24 years: 3.0%
0-18 years: not available (1.5% in 1997)
- In table 4.10, no province has a cause of death from HIV/AIDS listed as greater than 3.6% among the leading causes of death.
- Also, in table 4.12, note the large numbers of deaths from "Complications of Medical and Surgical Care" - 7.2% in the under 14's, and 6.7% in the over 65's. Just an interesting aside, considering the recent death of Makhato Mandelo after gall bladder surgery - named AIDS.
The beef is in Appendix E - "All underlying causes of death, 1997-2003, by single years"
Human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] diseases (B20 - B24)
Year - number of deaths - (% of total deaths)
1997 6,234 (2.0%)
1998 7,266 (2.0)
1999 9,925 (2.6)
2000 10,926 (2.6)
2001 9,212 (2.0)
2002 10,425 (2.1)
2003 (----) (2.1)
(A decreae of 19.75% since 2000)
So, consistently, 2.0% to 2.6% of death certificates mention "HIV diseases" as the cause of death in South Africa.
In STARK contrast to the released numbers, WHO/UNAIDS puts the estimated number of AIDS deaths in South Africa in 2003, at *370,000*.
(Source: HIVInsite, http://hivinsite.ucsf.edu/global?page=cr09-sf-00
)
Using the 2002 figures, that would mean that there was an underreporting death from AIDS to the extent of 97%, if you believe that. (10,425 / 370,000)
I find it very hard to believe that because of a social stigma, people would balk at mentioning AIDS as a cause of death, but not Tuberculosis (the highest number of deaths).
On the other hand, this death certificate data has the HUGE advantage of not being based on estimates.