They would have to change the rules first.
There was an excellent film about the Irish Troubles entitled Bloody Sunday that came out in 2002.
Many people thought it would be real contender, but because it was considered so compelling, the BBC invoked its contractual rights and showed it on TV within the six months from premiere (not 9 months) period required by Academy Rule 3.
Fahrenheit 9/11 premiered at Cannes on May 17, less than four months ago.
If the election goes badly for the Democrats, Moore may not be quite the hero come Oscar time that he is today.
What makes you think they won't do it again?