“What is he seeing which we are not?”
Moore correctly predicted that Roe being overturned was going to be a major factor in how people voted.
Conservatives largely ignored that because they didn’t want it to be true. Instead, polls were cited and cable news shows were referenced. Red Wave, Red Tsunami. An echo chamber effect was created. Other factors that broke for the Democrats were Trump Fatigue and Election Denial. It didn’t help that some MAGA candidates wouldn’t say whether they would accept the outcome of their elections.
You left out, probably with purpose, the massive baked in voter fraud via mail and harvesting. Abortion with help from that treasonous scumbag Graham did put the races within the cheat range. Looking at Az maybe there’s no limit to the cheat range.