Posted on 05/17/2022 9:31:00 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
A detailed list of the destroyed and captured vehicles and equipment of both sides can be seen below. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
NO UPDATES FOR NOW.
ORYX says: “I’m away for several days. The list won’t be updated in the meantime. But not to worry, all losses will eventually be incorporated into the list.”
“The first ever footage of what is claimed by the UA side to be UK-supplied Brimstone missiles in use against Russian forces in the East.
Two vehicles (Named as tanks) are struck in very rapid succession- it is said this is deep behind the front lines.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1526582495076024321
Are they still evacuating Ukrainian heroes carrying white flags?
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 16, 2022
(’Orc ‘is associated with the various hoards of Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
**denotes transcribed dialogue
———————————————————————————————————————
Other items:
*At least 8 new T-90s are on their way by rail to Orcs.
*Deja Vu. President Putin is making low-level tactical decisions that would normally be decided by an officer in charge of as few as 700 Russian troops, western military sources say.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/2709777c-d54a-11ec-bb99-1bcd45646516?shareToken=bf604d69315d1906b7b8ca2d660f660d
*Russian army shelled warehouse with ammonium nitrate in Kharkiv region, smoke visible from Kramatorsk
*Russian army shelling Chernihiv region with mortars: near Mykolaivka and Hremyach
*Ukrainian Air Defense shot down “Kh”-type missile launched towards Odesa by Russian jet fighter
*Ukrainian aviation and artillery conducted 100 strikes against Russian position in Kherson region, including at Chornobaivka airfield
*Orc troops attempted to cross the border in Shostka district of Sumy region this morning, withdraw after clash with border guards
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/16-may-russian-troops-attempted-to-cross-the-border-in-shostka
*Russian forces have likely abandoned the objective of completing a large-scale encirclement of Ukrainian units from Donetsk City to Izyum in favor of completing the seizure of Luhansk Oblast... Russian forces have likely run out of combat-ready reservists...
———————————————————————————————————————
From A Site Commenter:
Clearing the villages to the east of Kharkiv is pretty much a simple task which has been handed over to the 107th, 113th, 125th and 127th Territorial Defence Brigade’s. They are currently either engaging with the remaining Russian forces, or are continuing the building of the new and extensive defenses along the border with Russia.
The 107th Territorial Defence Brigade has also sent at least 2 of it’s Battalions to dig in along the northern bank of the Slverskyl Donets River to protect any attempt by the Russians at attempting another attack on Kharkiv.
The Izyum bridgehead for the Russians is currently being held by hastily put together units from the survivors from the Kyiv, Chernihiv and all the way down to Sumy failures. Judging by the lack of any attacking ability and the fact that they have seen the remnants of over 6 Russian Divisions heading the other way will lessen their overall morale, that’s if they have any.
As I said yesterday, the Ukrainians are not going to waste the strength on an attack at Izyum, not when they have just added the 26th Artillery Brigade, with their new guns (they have added AS-90’s {British 155mm self-propelled} to their 2S19-Msta-S’s {Russian 152mm self-propelled}, and a couple of M-777 batteries to their existing MT-12 Rapira’s {100mm towed}), to the 72nd, 92nd and The 93rd Mechanized Brigade’s are now starting to point in the direction of Kup’yans’k, which would cut off most of the Russian 1st Guards Tank Army in the west.
The Lyman bridgehead is being held by the Ukrainian 79th Air Assault Brigade, who are more than capable to withstand the attacks from the Russian 30th Motor Rifle Brigade with a very much weakened 7th tank Brigade, they also have a partial force from the 24th Special Purpose Brigade, which shows how badly mauled the Russians are across the entire eastern front.
The 79th Air Assault Brigade is receiving fire support from the 3rd Tank Brigade as well as fresh Territorial Defence Battalions. But the whole Donbas salient is receiving both Regular, Reserve and Territorial Defence Brigade reinforcements, unlike their Russian opponents. I doubt the Ukrainian General Officers are too worried by the small gain of ground by Russia against the 24th Mechanized Brigade.
After all they have the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade, 46th Air Assault Brigade and the 58th Independent Motorized Infantry Brigade as well as 3 Territorial Defence Brigades (who have been fighting in Donbas for 8 years) in the area, who are yet to commit to combat.
Also, judging by the attrition rate to Russians are currently operating at, it is very unlikely that any major gain in the Donbas is going to be possible, so using the term “flood” is pushing optimism to its very limits. Russia just doesn’t have the forces the need for an encirclement of any part of the Donbas. The only Russian forces in the Popasna area are the 40th Naval Infantry Brigade, which is a Russian Brigade that lost over 60% of its equipment outside Kyiv along with 20% personnel.
So if they have to relying on members of the “Wagner Group” to make up for their losses, there definitely won’t be a “flood”. I believe you are confusing the 150th Rifle Division with a non existent “50th Division”, the 150th Rifle Division was badly mauled in the Siege of Mariupol’, so they only bring their 328th Light Artillery and 418th Howitzer Regiment’s to the battle.
And opposing them is the {UA} 44th Artillery Brigade with their new M-777s, which already have destroyed 3 pontoon bridges and can out range anything the Russians have. Novoselivka and Yur’ivka has happened before, and like at Popasna they lack any forces to exploit a breakout.
The only fresh forces in the Donetsk area was the 49th Combined Arms Army {which} is only an Army on paper, and what forces they may have brought with them, have been spent already. Russia lacks the forces to capitalize on any small gains. And the 58th Combined Arms Army has committed all their forces to the fight, which include the 19th Motor Rifle and the 42nd Guards Motor Rifle Division’s both of which have had Regiments removed and sent west.
Russia has no reinforcements ready to send anywhere from Kherson to Donetsk. But just north of both the 19th Motor Rifle and the 42nd Guards Motor Rifle Division’s, Ukraine is massing their forces and they are armed with M-777’s, SA-90’s {AS-90s} and new and reclaimed hardware the Russians lost in the north.
The 1st Army Corps is a forced occupation force in the Donetsk area with the highest desertion rate of any force in the entire war, some how men with no training don’t want to die fighting for a cause they don’t believe in. There are six to eight M-777 howitzers or SA90’s {AS-90s} in a modern artillery battery, so there will be at least 28 artillery batteries that will out range anything that the Russians have.
The 8 {M-777S} that the Ukrainians have deployed have already decimated the Russians in Donbas, so imagine what’s going to happen when the rest are deployed, they are not all going to be in Donbas. You need a better grasp on how a modern war is fought, you’re thinking like it’s WW2 or from how a Russian Commander see’s a battle.
Ukraine has had its regular military trained by western experts who know how to fight a war when the enemy shoots back at them, something Russia has avoided for nearly 30 years. Saying the term regarding Russians having better skills with artillery is absurd, unless it’s a City, Russian ability is really poor, the only advantage they have is munitions, and even then 30% don’t explode.
And as far as the Russian Orlan-10 drone, it is unable to relay information in real time, which has allowed the Ukrainians troops time to relocate and not be where the Russian artillery has ended up firing, only to return after they have stopped. Other wise the Russians would be at the Polish border by now.
If there had been a Mariupol’ breakout there would be literally dozens of extra Russian Battle Tactical groups that would have been able to be put against other parts of the battlefield. The sacrifice of those men, from whatever Ukrainian Brigades decimated the Russian ability to strike north or northeast and encircle large areas of Ukraine. About 4-5,000 Ukrainian troops held up the entire southern strategy of the Russian Army for 80 days, and they are still holding the Azovstal factory, and continue to divert Russian forces.
Let’s just pray that the Russians treat the 280 wounded Ukrainian soldiers properly, and don’t decide to kill them like they have been threatening. You should be disgusted with your lack of understanding of what their actions mean to the rest of Ukraine. If you are unable to understand why they decided to hold their ground, maybe you shouldn’t be doing any analysis on military matters. 24th Special Purpose Brigade is not Brigade strength, none of them are, they are more like a Battalion, and that would be optimistic.
Russia likes to think that they are an “Elite” force, and maybe they are, if you compare them against the regular Russian troops. But compared against western trained Ukrainian Regulars or even their Territorial Defence units, they’re not particularly “Elite”. When I was serving in both my old units, they are well below what we accepted as average or even acceptable. I have gone up against ex Spetsnaz in a couple of African Countries while fulfilling our obligations to fellow Commonwealth Nations.
Putin used to send mercenaries into those Countries to try and destabilize regions, or to help train terrorist groups like Boko Haram. But whatever the reason Putin sent them, they all died very easily, so they can hardly be called “Special Forces”, if they can’t even survive first contact against regular forces. Before all you Spetsnaz fans start madly typing, we knew they were ex Spetsnaz because they loved their Spetsnaz tattoo’s.
———————————————————————————————————————
From A Different Site Commenter:
For everyone complaining about slow movement by either side. You have to understand that right now is the tail end of Rasputitsa (sea of mud) season in Ukraine. Basically most of the roads or fields are mud that’s several feet deep. From March to May maneuvers outside concrete roads are a nightmare. Heavy rain forecast for another two weeks in the Donbass.
The Ukrainians have picked up on the Russians obvious use of concrete roads and have placed their strongest defenses along the main routes. The Russians may be gathering men and material for an offensive in June/July as that would also coincide with the end of training for the annual draft starting in April. Meaning they can send more reinforcements. It will also be the end of the muddy season. And War in Ukraine is correct as the best times for solid ground for the invasion was from December to February.
Let me clarify, I meant that they might be going to full mobilization in June. Which is why I cite the conscript inductees. Which they supposedly can’t use. Also from satellite images a lot of equipment is being gathered in bases near Belgorod, Rostov, Krasnodar and Crimea. With very little if any being routed to the units currently in Ukraine. There is also the matter of all the brigades that were part of the attack on Kiev that are undergoing replenishment.
We’ve only seen a few of them recommitted to the south It takes 2-3 months to rebuild a division, so it lines up. As far as why they’re grinding down their units in these battles? I can’t read Putin’s mind though maybe he wants to make some sort of a limited success with which he can negotiate before upping the ante. Because if they don’t get something done with mobilization there is a very high chance that WMD’s will be considered.
———————————————————————————————————————
**Nature of Ukrainian Environment:
Moderate climate, 4 seasons, temperature 35C to -10C, July & August warmest, January is coldest, no particular rainy season, snow melts Feb or Mar - only difficult time for off-road travel, Not humid, tends to be dry. No mountains except Carpahians in east and south, Mostly flat terrain - south is supper flat, most land converted to agriculture: wheat barley corn sunflowers orchards, vineyards vegetables, forests in north and used to be swampy, pine forests near Russian border, South relatively sparsely populated
———————————————————————————————————————
(Printed material - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
Summary: Quiet day
- no major action today Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead - no changes.
- Lyman bridgehead - no changes today or yesterday.
- Bilogorivka bridgehead: destroyed
- Popasna area: advance of Russian troops
- Donetsk West: Advance of Russian troops near Novobahmutivka
1. Kharkiv: Ukrainian troops are slowly pushing Russian side out - no changes today.
**UA has possibly established a pontoon bridge to Khotimlya, and scouting the S. Donets river region
Donbas Salient:
2. Izyum bridgehead. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk. No changes today.
**No contiguous front lines. All of the territory Orcs hold has fighting all through it.
3. Lyman bridgehead. No changes today.
**Orc Axis of Attack toward Staryi Karavan
**Lyman pop 20-30000 before the war.
**Full scale mobilization need to advance, but is not politically viable in Russia. So have to use what they have.
Severodonetsk Salient:
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured all of Rubizhne. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well. Confirmed capture of Popasna by Russian troops. Russian troops advanced towards west today to village Pylypchatyne which in Ukrainian hands. They also captured village Novozvanivka which slightly to the south of Popasna.
**40th NB is around Popasna, with the 57th, the Wagner Group, and the 2nd AC (4,7,?)
**Attacking SW toward west stopped on Oblast border. Orcs have clear advantage here. UA 25th too exhausted to put up much of a fight. UA front line is slowly crumbling. UA needs to reinforce, or gates will open and will big Orc break through.
5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there. After capturing Novobahmutivka, Novoselivka Druha (Novoselivka-2), Russian troops captured village Oleksandropil.
**Whole area is contiguous trench lines and strongholds. Breakthroughs are bad news for UA.
**Orcs making progress here as well.
**UA 25th slowly falling back. Weak because 79th pulled, so UA troops are out numbered. Orcs may have been reinforced.
**1st AC (1, 5, 10). 1st AC is mostly Ukraine collaborators with Orc officers
**Also 100th and 4th MC on the front.
6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands. No changes today.
Zaporizhya Salient:
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area. The most northern group of Russian troops has been stopped before village of Vilne Pole. Ukranian side brought its 128 brigade and regiment Azov Kyiv to stop Russian advance there. Failed Ukrainian attack on village Novozlatopil.
**Two unsuccessful attacks but UA has problem attacking just not good enough, Most of Orc VKF attacks have gone down because of plethora of UA manpads.
**Orc still has advantage in artillery. UA lacks UAV support, skills not there. Still missing 3 out of 3 shots. May improve with practice.
**Salient built by Orcs 42D, 429/19D
8. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.
300 Ukrainian soldiers from Mariupol defense forces surrendered today, based on our information, they are not members of Azov regiment, but regular Ukrainian units, 36 brigade, some national guards unit, state guards unit, etc.
**2,000 remain but unclear what will happen to them. Water supply critical.
9. Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
**Just artillery shelling.
I think they are planning to exchange for RuZZian POWs.
Ukraine has over 1000 POWs.
Okay men.. Admit it. I know you all love these reports-so do I. Where were the Russians when it comes to the Death To America! crowd? They are too paranoid and too stupid to know that their enemies are ours.
Tactical nukes. Would the Ukraine have been attacked if Jimmy Carter had installed the neutron bomb in Europe? Carter got nothing in return. It took Afghanistan (’79) for him to get it. There would be a lot more than 700 tanks gone. They would now belong to Ukraine in working order. Paint over the Z’s.Heh heh.
“Ukraine’s Mariupol Falls to Russia”
RuZZia has been destroying RuZZian speaking cities in eastern Urkraine. Western Ukraine is virtually untouched.
Do you see the irony in this?
“Lawmakers in Helsinki voted 188 to eight to back the (NATO membership) proposal, with none abstaining and three absent.”
188 to 8.
Its all going strictly according to plan.
Speaking of destroying cities. How many American cities have been destroyed by the Illegal Invasion?
“Illegal Invasion”
You are boring me to death.
That’s Mexico’s neutron bomb.
I’m trying to help.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.