Posted on 12/01/2020 6:58:06 AM PST by RetiredArmy
Unless there is emergency intervention, tens of millions of Americans could be facing eviction once the holiday season is over. We kicked the can down the road throughout 2020, but all of the rent that was originally owed to landlords all over the country is still due, and they are very eager to collect.
Countless landlords are on the verge of financial ruin because of the rent moratoriums which were put in place, and kicking the can down the road even more would be absolutely disastrous for them.
Of course it would also be absolutely disastrous if the moratoriums are not extended, because in some states more than half of all households are behind on their rent or mortgage payments, and most of them have no way to pay.
One way or the other, we are about to hit a breaking point. The Aspen Institute is telling us that a whopping 40 million people "could face eviction over the next several months"...
According to research by the Aspen Institute, nearly 40 million Americans could face eviction over the next several months. The only thing holding back the flood right now is the CDC's eviction moratorium order and a patchwork of state and local protections for renters.
But these moratoriums are only kicking the can down the road. Chief economist for Moody's Analytics Mark Zandi told the Washington Post that tenants could owe nearly $70 billion in back rent by year's end. And for landlords left holding the bag, there's been little relief, as they've been forced to take on the role of government -- subsidizing housing for millions even as their own taxes, mortgage payments, and other expenses are due.
That is about 12 percent of the entire country.
If they get evicted, where are they going to go?
Into the streets?
Vox recently interviewed a 48-year-old Texas resident named "Kimberly", and she says that is exactly where she is headed if she gets evicted...
But after Covid-19 hit, she lost hours at her job as a crew trainer at Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers and found herself on the brink of financial collapse. She fell behind on her rent and when she tried to work with her landlord to set up a repayment plan, she told Vox that she was served an eviction notice. Now, the only thing keeping her in her home is the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) national eviction moratorium, which prohibits landlords from evicting qualifying tenants for failing to make rent.
If she's evicted, Kimberly says she has nowhere to go -- and will be homeless for the second time in five years.
And there are countless others out there that are just like her. According to Zero Hedge, "at least half of households in Arkansas, Florida and Nevada are not current on rent and mortgage payments".
We have never seen anything like this in modern American history, and the new lockdowns that are being instituted across the nation will just make things even worse.
Of course there are many Americans that will be able to move in with family, and this has already been happening in very large numbers.
In particular, young people are moving back in with their parents on a massive scale. According to the Pew Research Center, "a majority of young adults in the U.S. live with their parents for the first time since the Great Depression".
The phrase "since the Great Depression" has been popping up a lot lately, hasn't it?
That is because this is literally the first economic depression that the U.S. has experienced since that time.
Everywhere we look, we can see the sort of economic devastation that I have been warning was coming for a very long time.
In New Jersey, approximately one-third of all small businesses "have closed down in 2020"...
A third of small businesses in New Jersey have closed down in 2020, according to a report from The Star-Ledger newspaper.
"It's really bad... And without federal dollars coming into New Jersey, the Main Street stores and other establishments are not gonna make it through the winter." said Eileen Kean, the state director of the National Federation of Independent Business.
New Jersey's number is higher than the national average, but not by very much.
Of course Atlantic City has been hit particularly hard because it is so dependent on tourism. At this point, it is being called "the city without a pulse"...
The boardwalk is empty, the beaches are deserted, and the casinos, though partially reopen, are limping into their fifth month of severely curtailed operations after four months of shutdowns. The coronavirus pandemic skewered the economic engine of this beachside town, taking the city's vibrancy and its residents' livelihoods out with it.
Sadly, things are inevitably going to get worse in the months ahead thanks to the new lockdowns. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment has risen significantly for the past two weeks, and more bad weeks are almost certainly ahead.
Needless to say, rising unemployment will mean more Americans being pushed out of their homes and more Americans being pushed into poverty. According to a survey that was released in October, the number of Americans living in poverty has risen by 8 million since May...
The number of Americans living in poverty grew by 8 million since May, according to a Columbia University study, which found an increase in poverty rates after early coronavirus relief ended without more to follow.
Although the federal Cares Act, which gave Americans a one-time stimulus check of $1,200 and unemployed workers an extra $600 each week, was successful at offsetting growing poverty rates in the spring, the effects were short-lived, researchers found in the study published Thursday.
Of course that number is more than a month old, and so the true number of Americans that have been forced into poverty is substantially higher by now.
This is what an economic collapse looks like, and even worse days are ahead of us.
The good news is that those that were warned in advance that an economic collapse was coming had time to make preparations for this sort of a scenario.
But most Americans never wanted to listen to the warnings, and so now they find themselves in the middle of a storm without an umbrella.
Unfortunately, what we have experienced so far is just the leading edge of the storm, and most people still do not realize that.
Originally published at The Economic Collapse - reposted with permission.
Joe, this is happening on your watch! This is your disaster. Thanks, a****le!
That is exactly the point.
The extra $600 a week went to fast food and video games.
Since there was a “moratorium” on evictions, paying your damn rent fell to the bottom of the list.
Of course, I imagine the banks that held the paper did not have a moratorium.
Since the Fed is the largest holder of “mortgage paper” in the world, perhaps they would be willing to miss a few payments for the good of the country.
Oh wait...that would go against their belief in running a good economy.
The lesson is: When you “run” an economy...it gets run into the ground.
Landlords simply will not evict all their tenants. Where will they get someone else to rent the place? The entire class of people that rent to has been impacted, and they will have to do workouts.
Don’t be too sure. Landlords need to cover their costs, and if a tenant is paying nothing, then any paying tenant would be better.
I have little doubt that the fedgov will be able to print additional trillions to kick the can further down the road.
Yep. No thought of tomorrow.
Maybe ‘the plan’ is to hand this off to Biden, and come back in 2024 ... kinda like, “Do you miss me now?”
Hey I have a wild idea. End the lockdown, open the country back up, and let people get back with the life. It won’t solve all the problems but it will help.
How does the CDC have any “authority,” at all? Especially when we are talking about non-COVID evictions?
Maybe those 80,000,000 Biden voters can cough up some dough for them.
If not, maybe Nancy Pelosi can give them some ice cream.
“Landlords simply will not evict all their tenants. Where will they get someone else to rent the place?”
I own a apartent complex and thankfully mine is paid off and I have upscale tenants-none lost their job.
If somone was not paying I would evict them. I would rather the apartment be empty.
I have somone who is moving out spring 2021. I told the wife if covid was bad in 2021 I plan not to rent it or make sure thye have a guaranteed job such as a govt employee
Darn if I will have someone pay the first couple months rent and then cry that they can no longer due to losing their job from another shutdown.
The posture of property owners soon won’t matter as each county will be certain to collect their taxes. The defaults (depending on the rules/laws of the county) will explode in about two years, as properties are confiscated and put to auction. Property values will plummet. Guys like me will start buying and offer break even rent prices (likely still paying into negative cash flow) - while praying things get back on track over time.
"Kimberly" -- a 48-year-old woman, a 'crew trainer' at a pluck shack, hmm, what is wrong with that picture -- could have plucked picked up her missing hours by driving exactly 3 minutes to the next Raising Cane's. They are ubiquitous in Houston, which was their first big metro market after the Baton Rouge startup.
"Vox recently interviewed a 48-year-old Texas resident named "Kimberly", and she says that is exactly where she is headed if she gets evicted...But after Covid-19 hit, she lost hours at her job as a crew trainer at Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers and found herself on the brink of financial collapse. She fell behind on her rent and when she tried to work with her landlord to set up a repayment plan, she told Vox that she was served an eviction notice."
Ah more at Vox:
"I’m angry that people can think so little of human life,” [Kimberly] told Vox.In 2016 — after massive floods in her hometown of Houston, Texas, left her homeless and she was forced to abandon her cat to stay safe — she thought she’d never be in that position again. She got a job, found a place to live, and rescued three dogs she refers to as her “fur babies.”
She's angry that people can think so little of human life, but she "abandoned her cat" in a flood. Yeah, karma is a meow.
Oh please, stop it with the fear mongering..this is a push for more taxpayer money sent out into the country, i.e. stimulus money
Many wanted not to work and used COVID as an excuse. Kick them out. I didn’t see them protesting to get their jobs back. No lawsuits against dictator governors.
That is exactly right. They are easier to control that way.
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