Comments please.
PA is critical. If PDJT wins that, Biden is Bye-Done.
My personal one gives the following to Trump:
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
Wisconsin
For a total of 326 Trump/212 Biden
This looks very realistic. I would add WI and MI and possibly NV to the red column.
Of course, this all depends on how much cheating goes on, especially in PA.
I believe Trump has a shot at winning New Mexico. He lost to Clinton by about 66,000 votes. But, Gary Johnson had about 80,000 votes. If the numbers are accurate, Trump is doing better with Hispanics this year, plus he has been endorsed by the President of the Navajo Nation. The Trump campaign has been having some get out the vote efforts in NM, so that one might be a surprise win.
I also believe Trump will carry Michigan and Wisconsin, and very likely Pennsylvania and Minnesota.
Good job. Seems conservatively reasonable.
I think this is the set of base states the Trump campaign is working to nail down. The next tier is likely MI, WI, MN, NH, and NV, with CO, VA, NM joining in a best case scenario.
I just have a feeling its going to be 330.
Assuming Trump carries the states he carried four years ago in which he was leading or effectively tied in the pre-election polls (259 votes), then any of:
MN (10)
WI (10)
MI (16)
PA (20)
or NH (4) plus NV (6)
does the trick (269 and a probable win in the House; or, with ME-2, 270 and an outright win).
This assumes we keep AZ, FL, GA, NC, NE-2 and TX, all of which are in play.
Four years ago, we had to steal at least one state from Hillary (and we stole three).
This year we only have to Get Out the Vote.
We vote, We win.
Trump doesn’t need PA!
Look at your map. If Trump loses PA and wins either WI or MI, he wins, and it’s looking like he will win both. Look at the early returns in WI and MI (NBC election website), R returns actually outnumber D returns by a very healthy margin. Does anyone think terrified D’s will outperform R’s on in-person voting day?
We’re not even talking about the large # of cross-over votes. Trump will win!
Click the map to create your own at