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To: InterceptPoint

I look at the same website, and when I post their results I mark the 7 day moving average. It will keep out the Sat-Sun light reporting and if they are heavy from the weekend that effect will also be averaged out. I am not sure about 3 day weekend, but it the Covid has a 7-14 day delay, we should be showing an increase in fatality rates from back around jun 13 when the cases started rising.

DK


20 posted on 07/05/2020 1:18:35 PM PDT by Dark Knight
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To: Dark Knight

I do the same thing. I run a 7-day moving average. It’s the only way to wash out the up and down bounces and the weekend effect in the data and detect the real trend. And it is down. Too slow for my liking but a trend this long cannot be ignored.

And it seems to me that we should be seeing an uptick in deaths if there is going to be one. I’ve seen zero sign of that but, like you I’m going to wait and see how it goes over the next few weeks. That should tell the tale.


25 posted on 07/05/2020 2:23:12 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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