0-29 years 1
30-39 years 18
40-49 years 76
50-59 years 314
60-69 years 971
70-79 years 2,967
80-89 years 3,344
90 years and older 767
Those #s need to be normalized to be per capita.
Funny how closely they are tied to normal mortality tables.
Hey, ...if I was a conspiracy nut, I swear that there might be some risk that a person might be wrongly classified into the Covid column from something else...
Has a release of national death rates been revealed for last year, this year, to see if the total number of deaths this year to last are any different....AT ALL?
Interesting that it doesn’t kill as many people who are over 90, as the slightly younger ones.
Roughly 98 - 99% of the fatalities are people over 50 years old; just seems that once we develop some herd immunity, we should be able to let people under 50 go back to work, and keep those 70 years and older (mostly retired) at home until the infection rate really eases up.
Can you translate that into age adjusted mortality rate?
If you apply U.S. mortality data to Italy (Italy actually has higher life expectancy than the U.S.) and assume age demographics as exactly at the replacement rate (dubious, but this is a first order analysis), with immigration and emigration being demographically neutral, then expected Italian mortality by age, comparted to “additional” deaths attributed to the virus. Additional in quotes because some of these deaths may have occurred in the same year anyway.
0-29 years: 17,001 per year, virus 1
30-39 years: 12,045 per year, virus 18
40-49 years: 20,127 per year, virus 76
50-59 years: 44,887 per year, virus 314
60-69 years: 84,470 per year, virus 971
70-79 years: 162,592 per year, virus 2,967
80-89 years: 264,140 per year, virus 3,344
90 years and older: 188,685, virus 767
Even in Italy, it is not clear that COVID-19 will contribute significantly to the mortality rate.
Suppose an 85-year old man died of heart failure. He was overweight, diabetic, and had four heart surgeries.
He also is found to have had the coronavirus.
QUESTIONS:
1. What is the official cause of death?
2. Who determines ‘cause of death’?
3. What are the guidelines for determining COD?
4. Do these guidelines vary by state? By country?
5. Is it possible to have more than one COD? (If so, doesn’t this skew the numbers?)
6. Are percentages used? For example: His death is attributed 70% to his heart condition, 20% to diabetes, and 10% to Coronavirus.
7. Has there been a study or any statistical research done on this? Perhaps an audit?
8. Has anyone heard the media ask these questions?