Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Our Final Forecast For Today’s Primaries Biden is a clear favorite in three states, but there’s room for a Sanders upset in three others
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 10, 2020 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 03/10/2020 12:07:31 PM PDT by C19fan

With six states headed to the ballot box today,1 it’s once again time for FiveThirtyEight to freeze its forecast to see where things stand.

Today’s contests are divided between those that former Vice President Joe Biden will almost certainly win (99 percent chance) and those where Sen. Bernie Sanders has a clearer chance. As the table below shows, Biden is a strong favorite to win four of the seven contests, including three of the four biggest delegate hauls: Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi, as well as North Dakota. But Biden is also a more modest favorite over Sanders in the other three contests — Washington, Idaho and Democrats Abroad — and there’s plenty of room for an upset victory from Sanders. (Especially Democrats Abroad, which has not been polled and is especially hard to model.)

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2020; potus; primaries; primary
At this point just going through the motions.
1 posted on 03/10/2020 12:07:32 PM PDT by C19fan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: C19fan
Poor ole Bernie. His hate mongering didn't quite do it.
2 posted on 03/10/2020 12:12:52 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmokingJoe

Bernie is, as the late Bob Grant would say, “a fake, phony, fraud.” If he were to bring up the issue of Biden’s obvious mental decline, he’d score a knockout. However, he’s following the orders of his Masters. I wonder if his groupies understand this.


3 posted on 03/10/2020 12:19:04 PM PDT by Salvey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SmokingJoe

Y’know, I’ve seen quite a few videos of Batshit Bernie with his followers and damned few of them are people “of color.”


4 posted on 03/10/2020 12:21:16 PM PDT by ManHunter (You can run, but you'll only die tired... Army snipers: Reach out and touch someone)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ManHunter
You know he is pandering, as all the white Dems do.
5 posted on 03/10/2020 12:25:46 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Impy

Idaho @ 8 pm MDT is the suspense. That’s 10 EST.


6 posted on 03/10/2020 12:26:28 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Salvey

Democrat primaries are just a dry run for election fraud trials.


7 posted on 03/10/2020 12:26:36 PM PDT by cnsmom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: C19fan

Crazy Bernie will win WA State, but not by a lot to close the gap.

after today, it’ll be all over... Crazy Bernie won’t quit as long as the campaign cash keeps flowing, dude’s a ol commie grifter.

I suspect the debate on Sunday will be cancelled (china virus), there’s way more risk than reward for Senile Joe and the DNC given his dementia.


8 posted on 03/10/2020 12:28:35 PM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C19fan
And they call Trump a con man...

This clown should star in the remake of The Flim Flam Man...already has the look down pat.

9 posted on 03/10/2020 12:37:31 PM PDT by RckyRaCoCo (Please Pray For My Brother Ken)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sheehan

“I suspect the debate on Sunday will be cancelled”

No it has been totally rigged to make Joe look good. It will be a Biden campaign and they are not about to cancel it.


10 posted on 03/10/2020 12:37:58 PM PDT by gibsonguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: gibsonguy

Larry King format.


11 posted on 03/10/2020 12:46:37 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: DIRTYSECRET

Yep, Joe has the questions and sitting at a table as requested by Joe.


12 posted on 03/10/2020 1:15:08 PM PDT by gibsonguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: C19fan

I’m not buying the “Bernie is toast” narrative.


13 posted on 03/10/2020 1:20:14 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oldeconomybuyer

We’ll know by tomorrow I think after not so super Tuesday.


14 posted on 03/10/2020 1:21:11 PM PDT by nascarnation
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: C19fan

My guess is that Bernie supporters will get out to vote no matter what. Are Biden supporters similarly motivated?


15 posted on 03/10/2020 2:31:11 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C19fan; LS; Impy



16 posted on 03/10/2020 3:24:08 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: campaignPete R-CT; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy

I saw a “projection” posted that Sanders could win MI.

If he doesn’t get that I think he’s focked.

ND is a caucus state so I wouldn’t so sure about that one either.

Biden wins easily in MS (Yuge) and MO of course.

Democrats Abroad, lol, at least that’s one win for Bernie.

This is why Obama thought there were 57 states BTW, 50 states, DC, 5 territories and he counted Democrats Abroad as a State.


17 posted on 03/10/2020 3:36:21 PM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Impy; campaignPete R-CT; BillyBoy

“This is why Obama thought there were 57 states BTW, 50 states, DC, 5 territories and he counted Democrats Abroad as a State.”

_________________

Yeah, Obama said after winning Iowa that he would keep working hard to win the other 56 states, when he meant to say the other 56 primary contests. I always thought that that was one of the silliest criticisms of Obama, and that the theory that Obama was thinking of the 57 states in the Arab League was particularly asinine. Obama knows that they’re 50 states and he had no idea that there were 57 Arab League states—he’s not as knowledgeable, even about Muslim issues, as people assume.


18 posted on 03/10/2020 3:47:19 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: sheehan

Agreed. The big fear for the DNC is the debate and they will find some excuse to avoid it. Sanders is done and will betray his supporters again by selling out.


19 posted on 03/10/2020 5:22:41 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson