Posted on 11/26/2019 1:33:11 PM PST by GuavaCheesePuff
The last time a Republican won a statewide election was Dennis Vacco in 1994 and George Pataki in 2002.
The last Republican to win presidential-level was Ronald Reagan in 1984. The last Republican to win a Senate election was Al D'Amato in 1992.
Things have changed. A New York Republican has to win 30% or more in NYC and the suburbs to win outright to offset the heavy liberal suburban and urban areas.
President Trump got 36% of the vote in 2016, in NY, outperforming McCain and Romney.
He no longer lives in NY, he may get 36%-41% in 2020 in NY, he is a Floridian now. Most New Yorkers are Floridians now.
Do you think a Republican can win NY again?
No.
Not as long as NYC is above water...................Maybe that Global Warming thingy isn’t so bad after all................
NY drives out long term residents and imports leftist immigrants. Statewide Republican wins = good luck.
No, nor CA....so republicans are already down 84 electoral votes before first illegal vote is cast....
If we could get rid of Chicago,, a Republican could win Illinois again.
No. And, you can add California to that list. The Rats only need 186 EV out of the remaining 454 to get 270.
No.
Don’t know how Reagan won both NY and Mass twice.
Republicans need to appeal to all Americans.
It wasn’t long ago, Republicans won suburban areas.
Were very close to the point where a Republican will never win the White House again.
Are you kidding? With Dem candidates in NY and across the country promising that every day will be Christmas Day, I’m surprised Republicans can win anywhere.
I see a mass migration away from NY. Away from high taxes and low quality of life. It will get a lot worse. Soon, all that will be left will be the leeches. The good news is, with a drop in population will come less electoral votes and less members of Congress. Maybe it will cycle in the distant future but I doubt it.
Not for a few cycles. We will have to wait until the 2030’s after the next recession brought on by the post trump era (not suggesting he is going to lose at all...but there will be “trump-fatigue.)
If there is any kind of major shock to the system, be it economic or war, the conservative AFTER that might get NY.
Can it happen? Yes... is it likely to happen? No.
No.
If you got rid of most urban centers Democrats would not win outside the New England states
I think we ought to expell CA from USA, put a wall around it. Then we won’t have to worry about EVs.
(I can dream can’t I??)
No.
NY and CA are lost forever.
Nope, the city overflows with people who worship at the alter of Big Government, get benefits, work for government etc. It's a mess, it will continue its slow decline until one day it collapses.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.