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Threat Matrix 2019
Free Repubilc | 21 January 2019 | TM CREW

Posted on 01/21/2019 2:34:05 PM PST by KC_Lion

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Israel/gaza update

approximately 250 rockets have been fired so far. Of note these are rockets controlled by Iran supported Islamic Jihad terror group. They have placed Hamas at odds with the situation as Hamas is the semi-official controlling group for Gaza and IJ doesn’t want their oversight.

IDF tanks are reported firing at IJ positions through out Gaza. Question is will Israel drop the hammer and launch a ground campaign.


361 posted on 11/12/2019 10:46:39 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: All

Israel/Gaza update

Night time in Israel/Gaza. Rockets continue to be fired from Gaza with heavy IAF bombing. Hamas reportedly has begun to fire their rockets in support of Palistian Islamic Jihad. Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade had a launch site hit with 4 reported dead - including a commander.

PIJ propaganda statement ‘Islamic Jihad says in the coming hours there will be a new “defeat” and “destruction” for Israel at 9 o’clock. “The timing will not be forgotten by Netanyahu”. No word yet just what they have planned or if they’ve pulled it off. It is currently 1027 in Israel. Don’t know if they meant in the morning.

Everything points to a significant continued escalation of fighting. It will be hard for Israel NOT to launch a ground attack at this rate.


362 posted on 11/12/2019 12:39:30 PM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; robowombat; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; ...

Israel/gaza
After a short pause overnight, rocket attacks have started back up again, along with strong IAF airstrikes. Israeli govt warns citizens that rocket attacks could continue for many more days. This will increase pressure to launch a ground assault to shut the terrorists down.

Damage in Gaza was made worse by PIJ rockets that failed and struck Gaza. Photos show one apartment building in flames / smoke from one such failed launch. However, only about a dozen casualities have been reported in Gaza from all the activity.

Reports of IDF using smoke to screen movements along border. This suggests ground units getting into place for potential action. Monitoring.


363 posted on 11/13/2019 6:39:08 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; robowombat; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; ...

Israel/Gaza
A ceasefire between Islamic jihad and Israel started a few hours ago and has already started to come apart. More rockets have been fired. This followed a day of protests against the ceasefire and complaints that Hamas didn’t join in the attacks.

Israel announced that the IAF has approval to strike IJ targets. Will have to see if the rocket launches escalate and IAF response.

Hamas has tried to say out of this exchange. News sources indicate that Israel’s counter attacks were focused strictly on IJ assets and no Hamas sites were hit. Assessments are that IJ was hammered pretty hard because Israeli intelligence was so good. IJ is a boil on Hama’s rear end, not willing to come under their leadership.

N Korea
Besides saying Biden needs to be beaten up, NK rejected US offers to resume talks. This implies that hardliners are still running the ship.

Venezuela
Out of the news cycle for a bit two items.
1. College students are protesting/rioting conditions in
Caracas engaged police.
2. Military HQ has sent out orders making senior commanders responsible for any movements of their units. Allegedly, this is in response to increasing discontent among elements of the military against the govt.

HK
Students have barricaded themselves in the university. this facility also hubs all internet traffic. Other protests have shutdown transportation hubs. Finally, protestors are using flaming arrows against police. A potential invasion by Chinese military units to quell protests is still an iffy scenario. One that could cause its already very weak economic situation to come apart and face the wrath of the world for another Tienmen square massacre.


364 posted on 11/14/2019 12:26:31 PM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

What do you think Trump’s response will be if in Venezuela there is an invasion by Chinese military units to quell protests? Shut down trade? Send in troops?


365 posted on 11/14/2019 2:17:22 PM PST by tired&retired (Blessings)
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To: tired&retired

Silly me... I meant Hong Kong...


366 posted on 11/14/2019 2:18:52 PM PST by tired&retired (Blessings)
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To: tired&retired

Two fold.
Sanctions
Organizing global boycott.

We have no means to militarily intervening. However HK is the main glow plug for. China’s economy, and their economy is in tough times. Boy it’s and economic sanctions could hammer China severely.


367 posted on 11/14/2019 9:38:22 PM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: null and void; aragorn; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; ...

Israel/Gaza
Hard feelings between Islamic jihad and Hamas as IJ accuses them of not supporting their attacks. A Hamas leader was assaulted by IJ supporters when visiting survivors.

Overnight continued sporadic rocket fire resulted in counter strikes by IAF. However this time more targets were Hamas related. Hamas is between a rock and a hard place. Israel publicly holds them responsible for the attacks. Yet IJ refuses to submit to Hamas leadership and in fact is trying to replace Hamas.

Iran
Unrest is being reported through much of the country due to an increasing gasoline prices 50%. Gasoline is heavily subsidized and the removal of those subsidies was suppose to all the govt to free up money to help the poor. Citizens are rioting in many cities with some deaths reported.

This is a result of sanctions squeezing the Iranian economy. They are spending huge amounts of money supporting Hezbollah, war efforts in Syria, war efforts against Saudi Arabia, nuclear development etc With a cratered economy civil unrest has increased


368 posted on 11/16/2019 6:28:22 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: All

######################################################################

Islam arrives in small town, USA;

https://www.jihadwatch.org/2019/11/inside-mosques-savannah-and-statesboro-georgia


369 posted on 11/17/2019 1:31:39 PM PST by LucyT
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To: null and void; aragorn; robowombat; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; ...

Israel/Gaza
Tense truce holds between IJ and Israel. Significant post action analysis looking at:
1. Israel return to selective targeting terror leaders
2. Careful targeting of just IJ and avoiding Hamas

As I noted before, this may be a method to pit IJ against Hamas (who IJ now considers to be a traitor for not supporting it). Over half of the rockets launched landed in unoccupied area. Still looking for Iron Dome intercept numbers.

Hong Kong
Protests there are entering a potential lethal period. HK police are threating to use lethal force (bullets) to force protestors out of colleges. Currently most volatile spot is HK Polytechnic where overnight protestors countered a police effort to force them out by using Molotov cocktails and arrows.

Iran
As I noted previously, rioting and protests over the significant fuel price increases continue across the country. Iran has shut down virtually all of the internet to prevent coordination between protestors. Causalities are uncertain given the general blackout and control by the govt. These protests can be seen as a continuation of protests that started in 2017-201.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has called the protestors “thugs” and indicators are that a crackdown is getting ready to start. Past protests were quelled by heavy police action and by the Basij, the all-volunteer force of Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard.

N Korea
US - SK have postponed a military exercise in hopes that NK would return to the negotiation table. I don’t expect Kim to do so as long as the hardliners in the party/military continue to hold sway over him. Economics may soon wear that down given the poor crops and poverty of the people while NK spends a lot on its military/nuclear ambitions.

Bolivia
Civil violence is on the threshold of civil war following the exile the president and assumption of power by the vice president. President supporters are blockading supplies to the areas of anti-president supporters.
The deposed president was a strong socialist and socialism had deeply damaged the economy and standard of living.


370 posted on 11/18/2019 7:54:40 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Add Chile to your list.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Chilean_protests

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/11/16/children-pinochet-victims-take-streets-chile-locked-battle-dictators/


371 posted on 11/18/2019 8:45:01 AM PST by Dacula (Epstein did not kill himself.)
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To: Dacula

We are seeing civil unrest throughout much of S. America. Brazil, Argentina in addition to Venezuela.


372 posted on 11/18/2019 8:59:08 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Very true. I am sensing a trend. :)


373 posted on 11/18/2019 9:05:09 AM PST by Dacula (Epstein did not kill himself.)
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To: null and void; aragorn; robowombat; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; ...

Hong Kong
Fox is reporting that thousands of protestors are converging on HK Polytech U. were several hundred protestors have been encircled by police forces. This could devolve into a serious melee with police increasingly inclined to shoot protestors with lead bullet rather than tear gas.


374 posted on 11/18/2019 10:06:18 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

If you look at video of this it’s clear these are just everyday HKers, not ‘triad mafia’ as some are trying to portray.


375 posted on 11/18/2019 10:08:27 AM PST by Black Agnes
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To: Godzilla; LucyT; Army Air Corps; gaijin
Fox is reporting that thousands of protesters are converging on HK Polytech U. were several hundred protesters have been encircled by police forces. This could devolve into a serious melee with police increasingly inclined to shoot protesters with lead bullet rather than tear gas.

Thank You for the updates Godzilla.

I am following The Epoch Times on Twitter and they are covering it live.

376 posted on 11/18/2019 10:10:33 AM PST by KC_Lion
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To: null and void; aragorn; robowombat; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; ...

While the circus resumes in DC the world continues to smoke.

Israel and surrounding.
Last night 4 rockets were fired into Israel from Syria. IDF reports they were fired by Iranian forces in Damascus. All 4 were intercepted by Iron Dome. There is confusion if Israel struck Damascus around the same time. Israel denies it. My guess is that the explosions noted in Damascus are likely errant rockets that didn’t make it to Israel and crashed there. This is not uncommon, happened a lot during the recent rocket barrage by IJ.

Speaking of IJ, there are rumors afoot that they may resume attacks as early as this Friday (weekly ‘day of return’ protests on the Gaza border). Some reports that in the coming weeks IJ will escalate matters. Hamas appears to be holding them at arms length so far. This may be due to the change in Israeli tactics of surgically taking out leadership. Hamas leaders don’t want an uninvited guest coming through their window at oh dark thirty.

The US disavowing that West Bank settlements do not violate international law is bound to stir up some Palestinian/Arab anger. will that translate into additional attacks? The west bank is ruled by the Palestinian authority which has so far been pretty quiet in comparison to Gaza (Hamas and IJ, et al) and Hezbollah.

Hong Kong
Siege at HK Polytechnic continues. Reports of thousands coming to their aid yesterday hasn’t really made much more news.
The HK supreme court (separate from China), struck down a ban on face masks. HK is supposed to have independence in law and the main land isn’t happy with that decision. It was similar attempt by the mainland to deport ‘criminals’ to the mainland and away from HK justice system that started the rioting 6 months ago.

Iran
Riots continue throughout the country sparked by increases in gasoline prices. Internet and new blackout is limiting information coming out of the country, but govt forces are reported to be using lethal methods to quell the disturbances, as indicated they would yesterday.

Iraq
Riots/protests against Iranian supported militias and intrusion/corruption into Iraq govt continues. The militias continue to shoot protestors, which have steeled their resolve to kick Iranian influence out even more.

NK
Kim still demands US/SK concessions before resuming talks. Threatens to resume military actions.


377 posted on 11/19/2019 7:15:45 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: Godzilla
Kim still demands US/SK concessions before resuming talks.

How's your food supply Fat Boi? No problems with African swine flu, I trust?

378 posted on 11/19/2019 7:40:05 AM PST by null and void (Convicted spies are shot, traitors are hanged, saboteurs are subject to summary execution...)
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To: null and void

swine flu AND rotten harvest. back to eating dirt


379 posted on 11/19/2019 11:24:32 AM PST by Godzilla ( I just love the smell of COVFEFE in the morning . . . .)
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To: LucyT

As requested, the excerpt from Dr. Hammond’s book:

From Dr. Peter Hammond’s book: SLAVERY, TERRORISM & ISLAM

“Islam is not a religion, nor is it a cult. In its fullest form, it is a complete, total, 100% system of life,” Dr. Hammond notes in his book. “Islam has religious, legal, political, economic, social, and military components. The religious component is a beard for all of the other components.”

Their takeover of a country, what Dr. Hammond refers to as “Islamization,” begins when the population of Muslims reaches a critical mass, and they being to agitate for various privileges.

Open, free, democratic societies are particularly vulnerable. “When politically correct, tolerant, and culturally diverse societies agree to Muslim demands for their religious privileges, some of the other components tend to creep in as well,” he notes.

book cover
book cover
This is how it works, according to Dr. Hammond:

When the Muslim population remains under 2% in a country, they will be seen primarily as a peace-loving minority and not as a threat to other citizens. This is the current situation in:

United States — Muslim 0.6%

Australia — Muslim 1.5%

Canada — Muslim 1.9%

China — Muslim 1.8%

Italy — Muslim 1.5%

Norway — Muslim 1.8%

As the Muslim population reaches 2% to 5%, they begin to recruit from ethnic minorities and disaffected groups, within prisons and street gangs. This is happening in:

Denmark — Muslim 2%

Germany — Muslim 3.7%

United Kingdom — Muslim 2.7%

Spain — Muslim 4%

Thailand — Muslim 4.6%

“From 5% on, they exercise an inordinate influence in proportion to their percentage of the population,” Dr. Hammond notes. “For example, they will push for the introduction of halal (clean by Islamic standards) food” and increase pressure on supermarket chains to feature such food on their shelves — along with threats for failure to comply. This is happening in:

France — Muslim 8%

Philippines — 5%

Sweden — Muslim 5%

Switzerland — Muslim 4.3%

The Netherlands — Muslim 5.5%

Trinidad & Tobago — Muslim 5.8%

Soon they begin to apply pressure to allow Sharia law within their own communities (sometimes ghettos).

“When Muslims approach 10% of the population, they tend to increase lawlessness as a means of complaint about their conditions,” Dr. Hammond notes. “In Paris, we are already seeing car-burnings. Any non-Muslim action offends Islam, and results in uprisings and threats, such as in Amsterdam, with opposition to Mohammed cartoons and films about Islam.” These tensions are seen on a regular basis in:

Guyana — Muslim 10%

Riots in Pakistan, 2013
Riots in Pakistan, 2013
India — Muslim 13.4%

Israel — Muslim 16%

Kenya — Muslim 10%

Russia — Muslim 15%

The violence increases when the Muslim population reaches 20%. “After reaching 20%, nations can expect hair-trigger rioting, jihad militia formations, sporadic killings, and the burnings of Christian churches and Jewish synagogues,” such as in:

Ethiopia — Muslim 32.8%

“At 40%, nations experience widespread massacres, chronic terror attacks, and ongoing militia warfare,” such as in:

Bosnia — Muslim 40%

Chad — Muslim 53.1%

Lebanon — Muslim 59.7%

From 60%, persecution of non-believing “infidels” rises significantly, including sporadic ethnic cleansing (genocide), use of Sharia law as a weapon, and Jizya, a tax placed on infidels, such as in:

Albania — Muslim 70%

Malaysia — Muslim 60.4%

Qatar — Muslim 77.5%

Sudan — Muslim 70%

After 80%, expect daily intimidation and violent jihad, some State-run ethnic cleansing, and even some genocide, as these nations drive out “infidels,” and move toward a 100% Muslim society, which has been experienced to some degree in:

Bangladesh — Muslim 83%

Egypt — Muslim 90%

Gaza — Muslim 98.7%

Indonesia — Muslim 86.1%

Iran — Muslim 98%

Iraq — Muslim 97%

Jordan — Muslim 92%

Morocco — Muslim 98.7%

Pakistan — Muslim 97%

Palestine — Muslim 99%

Syria — Muslim 90%

Tajikistan — Muslim 90%

Turkey — Muslim 99.8%

United Arab Emirates — Muslim 96%

A 100% Muslim society will theoretically usher in their version of peace — the peace of ‘Dar-es-Salaam’ — the Islamic House of Peace. “Here there’s supposed to be peace, because everybody is a Muslim, the Madrassas are the only schools, and the Koran is the only word,” such as in:

Afghanistan — Muslim 100%

Saudi Arabia — Muslim 100%

Somalia — Muslim 100%

Yemen — Muslim 100%

Dr. Hammond observes this Islamic ideal is seldom realized. “Unfortunately, peace is never achieved, as in these 100% states the most radical Muslims intimidate and spew hatred, and satisfy their blood lust by killing less radical Muslims, for a variety of reasons.”


380 posted on 11/19/2019 12:40:33 PM PST by elteemike (Light travels faster than sound...That's why so many people appear bright until you hear them speak)
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