Posted on 08/17/2018 11:18:35 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
I looked at the dems attendance during their primary elections in Michigan, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconisn. They turned out in HUGE numbers compared to the GOP who voted.
I am afraid. They dems really got out the vote by huge margins. These are not polls. They are actually voting results.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dD1mLBlbauY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UY8aREDKqYU
Pray, pray pray and bring a friend to the polls.
“Based on what? What - what you feel?”
No ... not feelings ... it’s based on what I’ve seen in the current spate of special elections, polling data out there right now, and historical trends ... nothing more.
The Democratic base is angry and *wants* to turn out. They’re getting solid, election day numbers out to the polls for special elections. You can’t deny that.
The Republicans are not turning out their voters in these contests leading up to this fall. I saw it myself in a special election in my own frigging district ... PA-18! Call it what you will ... complacency, unappealing candidate, etc. Republicans didn’t get out and vote like they did in 2016. Now that was certainly going to happen since it wasn’t a POTUS election, but the Dems turned out their voters in impressive numbers.
I said in my post is that the +30 number is mostly worthless *right now* since campaigning hasn’t started. Outside of a few commercials and the like, nobody has been hit with anything election related ... that is going to change this fall (it usually starts right after Labor Day weekend ... and the Republicans had better hit the ground running)! Where +30 has some value is that it should motivate Trump supporters to the polls to vote against Democrats.
That was the point of my post. Are we “losing” right now ... yeah, almost certainly, on paper, given historical trends and limited data. That doesn’t mean we are guaranteed to lose anything since the frigging game hasn’t been played yet! :-).
Nate Silver’s career as a pollster was over the night of November 8, 2016. He is just a political ha k now and after the coming Democrat midterm debacle nobody will listen to him again.
Ain’t me....LOL!
Survey says: Soros ...
Most annoying guy.
Silver missed the Presidential election by a few planets.
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