People also won’t be owning their their cars, for the most part. Think of Uber...but driverless
I suspect Uber type sharing will increase, but a huge amount? In just 20 years. I doubt it will be a majority.
Actually less reasons to own cars than you may think. Think of it this way, a fleet of cars is distributed in the community, you pull out your phone and one comes over and you get in...ride to the supermarket. You come out, ping!, a car comes, maybe one of the handful parked at the supermarket, and you get your ride back. When it it seems the density of cars is low relative to what’s needed, some of the empty cars move in and fill the void. For longer trips, you also select the type of car you want.
The average car is moving roughly 1 hour per day (average)...with the above, that can increase to maybe 10 hours...so much, much, less cars needed and associated real estate requirements.
I cut my teeth working on cars, and I will miss the ownership society very much...also taught my kids skills that are next to impossible to learn elsewhere - but I think those days are numbered.
Can you explain Uber? How is Uber different from calling a cab? Isn’t the only difference that you use an app on a cellular phone to call a ride from Uber, as opposed to calling a cab on a telephone?