Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

A War With North Korea Could Send Oil Prices Skyrocketing
Oilprice.com ^ | 05-09-2017 | Irina

Posted on 09/05/2017 7:56:13 AM PDT by bananaman22

An open military conflict in Northern Asia would disrupt more than a third of global seaborne crude oil trade, Wood Mackenzie warned last week amid yet another escalation between North Korea, its neighbors, and the U.S.

Such a conflict would cripple North Asia’s production and refining capacity, the consultancy said. Some 65 percent of Asia’s crude oil refining capacity is located in China, Japan, and South Korea, so the effects of an open war would be far-reaching and potentially long-lasting. The most pressing question, then, is how likely such an open conflict is.

(Excerpt) Read more at oilprice.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: northkorea; nuclearweapons; oil; war
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-25 next last

1 posted on 09/05/2017 7:56:13 AM PDT by bananaman22
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Yah think?

How was anyone to know?


2 posted on 09/05/2017 7:57:52 AM PDT by x1stcav (We have the guns. Do we have the will?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22
"Could", eh? Well, gee, if you're THAT sure about it.

Say, didn't experts say the same thing before Desert Storm?

3 posted on 09/05/2017 8:02:27 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

“OTHERS” besides Kim are behind this. Since they didn’t get to destroy America with Hillary, they’ve got to find another way. Having the world blame America for the fall of the world economy is one way.


4 posted on 09/05/2017 8:02:55 AM PDT by Terry Mross (Liver spots And blood thinners.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Nothing is going to make oil prices rise until those controlling the markets get good and ready for them to rise. Bookmark this.


5 posted on 09/05/2017 8:03:24 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

This site is guilty of false news in the past especially relating to “Peak Oil” They support high prices and usually spin stories toward higher prices. If their bias is not visible in articles so I really do not trust them completely.


6 posted on 09/05/2017 8:05:25 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Like Iraq.
Short bump.

Don’t count on catching the wave...


7 posted on 09/05/2017 8:06:14 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Whatever. You copy/paste that assumption from any military engagement.

Just not clever besides, it won’t happen...


8 posted on 09/05/2017 8:07:00 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wH-pk2vZG2M)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Bush oil conspiracy to raise oil prices for his buddies. Yeah.


9 posted on 09/05/2017 8:07:11 AM PDT by SkyDancer (Liberals Do Not Want Children To Be Children)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22
For a change ...

WE NOW OWN THE PUMPS !

10 posted on 09/05/2017 8:22:09 AM PDT by knarf (thank you)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Yes, because North Korea is a major exporter of oil, just like Japan.


11 posted on 09/05/2017 8:23:51 AM PDT by faucetman (Ju"st the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

In any significant conflict Nork’s air, sea, and missile capacities will be wiped out fast. Thus, there will not be a long period in which they have any major prospect of disrupting oil and gas supplies or processing across the entire region. Thus, any disruption will be temporary and fleeting.

As an aside: The big concern is always about how much damage their artillery can do to the Seoul area. Although this is obviously a very serious concern, and there would be major civilian casualties to one degree or another, I suspect the “sea of fire” projections are much exaggerated. First, the Norks can’t concentrate all of their artillery within the closest axis to Seoul, just across the border, or else it will be wiped out very quickly (and their artillery and rocket units are spread across many division and corps groupings, not bunched all in one spot). So people who say they will have “12,000” or more artillery tubes and rocket launchers firing on Seoul are probably hugely exaggerating. They also have to protect all of their border, not to mention other potential incursion points along their coastlines, while trying to prepare (”soften”) any other areas of military operation for their own offensive efforts. 2nd, most of the Seoul region is far more than 20 miles away from the nearest N. Korean border. It is another exaggeration to say that all of Seoul will be under artillery fire. Some of the northern suburbs, to be sure, but not all of Seoul. 3rd, much of the Nork artillery is NOT of the longest ranges; under 1,000 tubes are actually of the 170mm + sizes which could reach 20+ miles, and as referenced above those are not all going to be bunched just across the border due north of Seoul (else they will be wiped out pretty quickly).

Interesting article here on some aspects of the artillery/rocket issue and Seoul:

http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/could-north-korea-annihilate-seoul-its-artillery-20345


12 posted on 09/05/2017 8:24:20 AM PDT by Enchante
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Followed by a produced glut of the stuff, dropping prices to new lows. Stupid is as stupid listens to manipulative deep state.


13 posted on 09/05/2017 8:31:11 AM PDT by blackdog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

The implication is that Norkea should be suddenly obliterated, not engaged in a protracted war of threats and words.


14 posted on 09/05/2017 8:33:09 AM PDT by arthurus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22
It wouldn't take a war to raise prices, just talk of it already has.

Here in North Central Florida just the idea of Irma being anywhere near the peninsula has driven gas prices from $2.15 last week to $2.69 yesterday, and I'm sure will go even higher.

15 posted on 09/05/2017 8:40:52 AM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Just means more drilling here, with more jobs, and ultimately meaning fewer American dollars supporting thugs and theocracies.


16 posted on 09/05/2017 8:58:26 AM PDT by dangerdoc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: x1stcav

Is this a time to call Cpt. Obvious?


17 posted on 09/05/2017 9:08:45 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: jeffc

Gas prices up, obviously. Yet crude prices are pretty flat.

I’m in central Florida too, fwiw.


18 posted on 09/05/2017 9:10:55 AM PDT by subterfuge (Save the monuments!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

Cut the oil off now to the Fat Man.


19 posted on 09/05/2017 9:13:18 AM PDT by wardamneagle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bananaman22

A war with North Korea could ALSO stop all trade with China... and for years after as Americans turn their back on China and China’s goods.

If China wants a chance to be ‘first world’ they have to reign in the little fat monster.


20 posted on 09/05/2017 9:14:56 AM PDT by GOPJ (Thanks God for the Cajun Navy and other volunteers... turns out the professionals DID need help...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-25 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson