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To: Peter ODonnell

In the interests of complete reporting, Stein votes are reported as zero for NV, OK and SD, probably not on the ballot there.

Trump could have overtaken Clinton in NV and NM with most of the Libertarian vote. He needed about an 85-15 split of the Lib vote in NV, and almost all the Lib votes in NM.


3 posted on 11/10/2016 12:54:36 PM PST by Peter ODonnell (author of "The Obama Nightmare -- Pivot to Nuance, and the Frequent Use of the first person,")
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To: Peter ODonnell

The election proved that there is basically a 50-50 split right vs left in America. Without the charisma of Obama as a factor, this makes the right electable given the right breakdown of votes in key states.

9 per cent of Democrats and 7 per cent of Republicans crossed over in this election (according to the report).

The wikipedia report states that married women split the same way the nation did, 49-48 for Clinton over Trump. Married women evidently did not particularly value the concept of a female president any more than unmarried men who split 46-46. Married men favored Trump 58-37, cancelling out the Clinton fervor of unmarried women (62-33). Gender thus did not really decide this election.

People who say they are evangelicals or born again went more than 80% for Trump.

Mormons went 60% for Trump, so on the whole there was no huge Mormon factor despite Romney and McMullin’s interventions. They tried to deny Trump victory and failed, many of their co-religionists ignored their appeal.

Despite being non-offensive on their issues, gays and bisexuals went mostly with Clinton rather than Trump. I suppose the deciding factor there was the vice presidential stance. But if that were the case, I think Pence’s many evident positives (for me, the cold-to-gay stance is one also) more than helped Trump, I would say Pence turned the ship around and gave a few wavering voters confidence that if either Trump or Clinton faced health problems down the road, the VP choice was easier to make.


7 posted on 11/10/2016 1:07:34 PM PST by Peter ODonnell (author of "The Obama Nightmare -- Pivot to Nuance, and the Frequent Use of the first person,")
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