[rb22982]

Lot more at Bitzer's article. But to summarize the early voting how I see it in NC. Mail in ballots are down a bit for Rs but those #s are tiny relative to the total voting here (roughly 6% of R vs, 4% of D votes). In Person Early Voting, however, is roughly 60% of the total vote here (~70% of Democrats and ~50% of Republicans). Democrat trend in early in person voting is way down and its driven by very poor black turnout so far. Republicans are flat vs 2012 and independents are way up and nearly all white with a good mix of male/female for Trump

In 2012, blacks at this point were 31% of turnout. Today they are 22%. Whites were 64% of turnout at this point in 2012 but 73% of voting so far. These are very, very bad signs for Democrats in a state Romney won in 2012 and may portend poor AA turnout across the country for Clinton. The only hope the Democrats have is that the reduced # of early voting stations is dis proportionally hurting them but the trend in early voting is getting worse each day (yesterday D were only 9% behind last year, 11% now)

Based on early voting in FL, Ohio, NC and Iowa, it's safe to say at this point that any poll showing Trump down 10% or so is complete nonsense.

[11th_VA]

I’ve noticed the same trend in FL - Dems initially kept pace, but are falling further behind each day ...

[vooch]

based on national polls - I’d venture independents going to go 55-60% Trump

your thoughts ?

[MichaelCorleone]

Does anyone know if the military ballots from overseas are going to be counted this time around - is anybody watching and making sure?

They got ‘lost’ last time, and nobody seemed to care very much.

Aside from that being an atrocity, we need all the Trump votes counted.

[Honorary Serb]

I’m a proud “Unaffiliated Voter” for TRUMP!!!!

[erlayman]

Sounds good. But is this the latest ? I thought that numbers from yesterday showed early voting in NC for both parties up from 2012 and the Dems actually running ahead.

[KarlInOhio]

This is one reason I don't like early voting. It gives the Dems a chance to analyze the voting trends and try to "correct" them. The Dems seem better at responding to situations like this and the GOPe is sulking like Achilles in his tent over getting curb stomped in the primary.

I would rather this takes the Democrats by surprise on November 8 way too late for them to even cheat to win.

[longtermmemmory]

will reporter heads pop like the end of the movie “kingsmen”?

[jch10]

That doesn’t matter, says Meghan Kelly! Election is over.

They just don’t get it.

[jch10]

That doesn’t matter, says Meghan Kelly! Election is over.

They just don’t get it.

[jch10]

That doesn’t matter, says Meghan Kelly! Election is over.

They just don’t get it.

[jch10]

That doesn’t matter, says Meghan Kelly! Election is over.

They just don’t get it.