(Sob) Obama's on loan to the US govt from the Heavenly Choir of Angels.
Posted on 10/24/2016 9:14:36 AM PDT by Lorianne
Earlier this morning we wrote about the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary. Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats.
"METHODOLOGY – This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats - Republicans - Independents
Of course, while democrats may enjoy a slight registration advantage of a couple of points, it is nowhere near the 9 points reflected in this latest poll.
Meanwhile, we also pointed out that with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another. As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters. Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points. Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient.
(Excerpt) Read more at zerohedge.com ...
I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.
These stories continue to omit the fact that many many dems, are going to vote Trump.
When polled they probably won’t commit to that.
Wow, read the whole thing.
Rush mentioned this at the top of the hour. I think he’s going to talk about it.
Rush reading it right now from Zerohedge.
Which means he found it here on F.R.
Thanks Rush, no plug?
The e-mail is from 2008 but it does show their tactics.
Verification that the heavy weighted polls are cooked.
Pray America wakes
Waiting for that guy (can’t remember his screen name) to come on here and tell us how the heavily oversampled polls are “really” accurate because “they weigh them.”
(1) 874 voters nationally are an insufficient quantity to get reasonably small margins of error.
(2) Trump only +4 among whites is intuitively absurd. Should be at least double digits.
(3) Trump getting only 3% of black vote (less than Gary Johnson, libertarian) doesn't pass the smell test. This would be less than Romney vs. Obama. Trump probably gets at least 10% of the black vote, considering his outreach.
(4) Blacks and Hispanics surveyed on two different days almost two weeks apart, while Whites surveyed only one day. Why the difference?
Please see my post #10.
(Sob) Obama's on loan to the US govt from the Heavenly Choir of Angels.
LOL! As if there wasn't big-time fraud in the 2012 election which might have put Zero over the top vs. Romney.
Whatever you think of Romney or his campaign, it's possible that, instead of the usual line that 4 million Republicans didn't bother showing up, millions of Romney votes were subtracted out of the totals due to computer hacking. Whether that was the difference in the 2012 election is anyone's guess.
Trump is doing the country a great service this year by raising awareness on the election fraud issue.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.