Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Sunday Night Roundtable! (10/23) "The Panel Discusses Trumps Gettysburg Address"
Speaker.com ^ | 10/23/2016 | Bill Mitchell

Posted on 10/23/2016 5:29:51 PM PDT by GilGil

Very interesting commentary on the polls.

There are 4 polls showing Trump up. So what was the purpose of the ABC poll showing Hillary up 12 points. The purpose is to lower the RCP average. If they did not do that it would show Trump surging.

If the polls are properly weighted, Trump would be up 6-8 points currently.

When Reagan ran he was up 10 pts going into the election and he won 44 states. For Hillary to be up 12 points she would be winning all 50 states. Not possible.

(Excerpt) Read more at spreaker.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016; clinton; election; trump
If you want to listen to just the poll stuff, listen starting at the 12 minute mark. If you want a clear understanding this is a very good start. It is a very, very good explanation of the current state of the polls. Well worth your time.
1 posted on 10/23/2016 5:29:51 PM PDT by GilGil
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: GilGil

I hope Trump guts Hillary like a fish and then goes in and slices and dices D.C. like a whale.


2 posted on 10/23/2016 5:32:51 PM PDT by Jim W N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Can’t seem to find the link/video.

In a nutshell is he talking about the polls that are run and skewed by the Leftists and others like Rasmussen that may be more accurate?


3 posted on 10/23/2016 5:35:29 PM PDT by Jim W N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

CBS: 24 Percent of FL Clinton Supporters Would Consider Voting Trump to ‘Shake Up Political System’
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3483996/posts


4 posted on 10/23/2016 5:37:13 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Part of the corrupt, rigged system: Announce phony polls showing Hillary far ahead IOT suppress Trump votes.


5 posted on 10/23/2016 5:43:03 PM PDT by nickedknack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

People who start fights at rallies and bus in illegal voters aren’t going to bat an eye at faking poll data. In fact it’s a lot easier and cheaper.


6 posted on 10/23/2016 5:47:07 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jim 0216

Here is the link:

http://www.spreaker.com/user/mitchellvii/sunday-night-roundtable-10-23-the-panel-

He is discussing this week’s polls.


7 posted on 10/23/2016 5:47:15 PM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

In order to be winning all 50 states, wouldn’t she would have to be up by something like 15 to 20 points ? Couldn’t get the link to work. Maybe it is one of the points discussed.


8 posted on 10/23/2016 6:16:34 PM PDT by erlayman (yw)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jim 0216
I hope Trump guts Hillary like a fish...

That fish is already rotting from the head (Parkinsons).

9 posted on 10/23/2016 7:25:53 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
So what was the purpose of the ABC poll showing Hillary up 12 points. The purpose is to lower the RCP average...strange - I thought it was to raise the average and offset some of those polls showing Trump ahead - the RCP average difference has been in about he mid-single digits - they have to have some extra high polling numbers favoring her to try to maintain the average in that range.....
10 posted on 10/23/2016 8:59:39 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Intolerant in NJ

you are right— that’s what I meant


11 posted on 10/23/2016 9:10:02 PM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Thanks - it all gets very confusing....


12 posted on 10/23/2016 9:15:53 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Link didn’t work.


13 posted on 10/23/2016 9:46:01 PM PDT by Jim W N
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Intolerant in NJ

I used to love the RCP site, but they have had Texas in the undecided column. Total BS. If Texas is undecided, then Clinton will have a 49 state sweep.


14 posted on 10/24/2016 1:45:13 AM PDT by wbarmy (I chose to be a sheepdog once I saw what happens to the sheep.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
When Reagan ran he was up 10 pts going into the election and he won 44 states.

WRONG!!!

RR was behind 45-39 during the month of October, 1980 and stayed there until 3 days before the election.

Then and only then, did RR go up by 3 points and he won 51-41 with anderson getting 7 points. Get your facts correct.

15 posted on 10/24/2016 3:49:01 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

They seem to think that doctoring the polls will demoralize Trump supporters and suppress their voting - more likely to make Hillary fans believe it’s in the bag and allow them to rationalize (I know - it’s an oxymoron to use “rationalize” with her fans) why they can kick back and enjoy the fruits of their EBT cards by splurging on malt liquor...


16 posted on 10/24/2016 4:14:25 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
For Hillary to be up 12 points she would be winning all 50 states. Not possible

Well, it's not impossible, either. I can't stand constant repetition of polls to manage people's anxiety about this election.

If Hillary wins all 50 states, at least you will know what sort of a place you are living in, and can reach some rational conclusions with regard to what you want done about it.

Myself, I'm looking forward to a Trump landslide, but I have to admit I don't have a lot of data to support that wish.

17 posted on 10/24/2016 4:18:11 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Look out kid, they keep it all hid)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: USS Alaska

He was ahead the day before the election. Get your facts straight!!!


18 posted on 10/24/2016 6:07:00 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: wbarmy

I’ve never understood the fascination with RCP - averages of polls that are sometimes weeks old don’t give an accurate picture of what’s happening now, and give too much influence to wild outlier polls - I think the Texas business is because of one poll that oversampled college grads - pro Clinton - by about fifty percent - she’s not close in Texas, or she’d be campaigning there right now.....


19 posted on 10/24/2016 9:05:54 AM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson