What that means is there are about 90 million eligible adults of all sorts who do not ever vote.
That's the data base. Now the logic. Let's say we need about 4 million more Republican voters to win everything. We currently have about 58 million white Republican voters. A 7% increase in the White voting percentage would do that. We'd need to increase our vote among Latinos by a good 400% but only 250% with Blacks.
Graham and that crowd are doing everything they can to avoid the fact that all we need to do is have an aggressive voter registration drive among possible Republican voters and we win!
The problem with the numbers is that unless we got extraordinarily lucky with exact placement of about 5M votes - just in the right states - you wind up needing a bit more than 4M...
You need to take Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Florida... plus a few more.
And you have to do that while retaining Georgia, NC, Arizona, etc... so if the base is constantly being ‘purified’ of classes of Republican voters who aren’t ‘hard-core’ enough to suit everyone’s needs then the problem isn’t ‘growing the numbers’ but ‘stemming the drop’.
Each day the numeric advantage held by ‘older upper middle-class white voters’ (like me), is growing smaller. And the numbers of younger and minority growers is increasing...
So when you want to talk ‘winning’ through growing the white-conservative vote, you have to ask yourself ‘from where’?
The vote was split 60/40 in the Republicans favor for older men over 45, but break-even for women and favored Democrats below 45... so the ‘Growth’ would have to come by finding a 4M (using you numbers) advantage in the +45 white-men category.
And to accomplish a 4M+ with at 60/40 split then 20M more have to vote... which is hard to imagine.
And that assumes that moderate Republican votes don’t wind up staying home or switching over.