4% of precincts from KY and IN in with Romney way above these tipping points.
Which makes me wonder. Isn’t it usually the case that early returns favor Republicans and later returns favor Democrats, because big city precincts take longer to count? That could be a flaw in this method.
Yeah, that is usually true. With only 4% in we aren't going to know if its above or below the tipping point unless we have tipping point data for the particular areas in the 4%.