[carcraft]

Rove predicted a McCain loss and earned scorn, but he was honest. I think Rove has a pretty good handle on this. Now if the Bradley effect takes place then it may not be as long an evening as Rove predicted! I think Romney has better internals than McCain ever did. If I was Obama I would be worried because he can’t get past 50%, even with + 8 Democrats!

[mr_griz]

The Bradley effect never really materialized in 2008, but I believe there may be another factor at play here which is being overlooked. I call it the fear factor.

If I'm a union worker and somebody I don't know calls my telephone and asked me to take a political survey, do I dare reveal that I'm not on board with Obama?

Likewise, if I live in Madison Wisconsin, and a total stranger calls me up to ask about my political leanings – I will probably lie my butt off in order to avoid possible repercussions

I believe that the average American understands just how viciously deranged most liberals are. That being the case, I believe that the polls are very much out of alignment with reality.

I predict that we are going to see bigger numbers for Romney then what even the most promising polls indicate.