This is going to be a good thread! Bookmarked.
Still need to vote for Republican representatives to assure a Republican majority in the House and defend our constitutional rights as much as possible.
” - - - while Senate Democrats remain largely unscathed.”
Hmmmmmmmmmmm. Don’t think that “Stonewall” Reid didn’t have some dirt on the writer of this article!
Must be me, because I did not see who this article was written by. Gotta get these glasses cleaned.
In Missouri, RCP has Todd Akin beating senator Claire McCaskill by 11 points too for net gain of 1 seat.
In Virginia, Rasmussen has democrat Tim Kaine, the Democrat picked to replace retiring Jim Webb, tied with Republican challenger George Allen, the Senator defeated by Webb in 2006. Seems like this is a good place for us to fight. It seems like we should bend over backwards to bring Virginia back into the fold actually.
In Wisconsin, in an August 5th poll, Tommy Thomson, who won the Republican nomination on August 14, 2012 after a bitter four-way primary battle is five points ahead of democrat Tammy Baldwin who is picked to replace retiring Senator Herb Kohl. Given these poll results and the 2010 surprise upset in Wisconsin when ultra liberal democrat, Russ Feingold was defeated by Ron Johnson, and the recent Gubernatorial recall election results, it seems like this would be a real real good place to fight for a senate seat-net gain 1.
No reliable polls for the Montana race since June. Given the manner in which Jon Tester won in 2006, it seems very plausible that Republican Denny Rehberg will reclaim this senate seat from the Democrats. Hard to say but I say probably net gain of 1.
In North Dakota, Republican, Rick Berg is statistically tied with Democrat Heidi Heitkamp who seeks to retain this Democratic senate seat being vacated by retiring senator Kent Conrad (D).
In Indiana, an August 1st poll has tea party candidate Richard Mourdock 2 points ahead of Democratic challenger, Joe Donnely in the Indiana senate race. Mourdock defeated Richard Lugar in the Indiana primaries, 400,321 votes to 261,285. Losing to Donnely will be bad - real bad.
In Massachusetts, 6 polls average out to a tie between Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown who sent a shock wave through the democratic party when he took Ted Kennedy's Senate seat in a special election.
in Maine, the Republican seat held by retiring senator Olympia Snowe is now being fought over by Maine Secretary of State Charles Summers (R) and Maine State Senator, Cynthia Dill(D). Complicating this race is Maine Governor Angus King who is running as an Independent and currently polling well ahead of Summers and WAAAY ahead of Dill. The good news about this is that King was beating Summers by 28 points back in July but an August 6th poll of 500 likely voters in Maine by Moore Consulting has him beating summers by 18 points which is good but obviously not good enough. the same poll has Obama beating romney 52%-37%. king will likely caucus with demcocrats and create another Joe Lieberman situation. Maine is not looking so good. Anticipate the Dems picking up a seat in Maine.
Speaking of the Independent Joe Lieberman...Linda McMahon(R) is hoping to claim a seat for the Republicans by defeating Chris Murphy(D). A July 8th PPP poll has Murphy up by 8 points over McMahon. Murphy has soundly beaten in McMahon in every poll found at RCP between the two. Connecticut is going to the Dems. Because Lieberman caucused with the Dems, it isn't a net gain.
In Hawaii, Linda Lingle attempts to pick up a seat for the Republicans by defeating Democratic Mazie Hirono who is hoping to hold on to retiring Democrat, Daniel Akkaka's seat. Hirono is the clear favorite according to multiple polls and we should anticipate the Dems holding this seat for a net gain of zero.
In Florida, incumbent Democratic senator Bill Nelson is most recently looking good against Republican challenger, Connie Mack IV (R), although, RCP does have Mack up by o.2 points overall so this race looks very competitive.. We should, as usual, fight hard for Florida. It definitely looks to be within our grasp.
In Nebraska, the seat held by retiring democratic senator Ben Nelson is being fought over by Bob Kerrehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Kerrey(D) and Deb Fischer(R). Kerrey appears...highly accomplished and probably not some one to be underestimated. That being said, it looks like Nebraska is going to go to the Republicans this year for a net gain of 1.
In new Mexico, the seat held by retiring Democrat, Jeff Bingaman, is being fought over by Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Heather Wilson. RCP strongly suggests that The Democrats will hold New Mexico for a net gain of zero.
I've been at this for a while. If anybody has anything to add, it would be appreciated.
So what? In November, the mind-numbed masses will dutifully head to the polls and re-elect ~95% of the same politicians responsible for the 10% approval rating. We are at a point today where most people are either complacent about politics ar believe that ythere is nothing they can do to make a real change.
Worse, even if we were to replace 75% of the people currently in Congress, all we are doing is swapping one set of crooks for another. The problem that everyone overlooks is that it ISN'T the PEOPLE . . . . . . . it's the system!! The Tea Party candidates we sent to Congress in 2010 complained that the e-GOP laid down the law and explained that either the Tea Party candidates play ball with the e-GOP or they would get no cooperation and no bills brought to the floor.
Therein, lies the problem. It isn't the people, the system is already rigged to screw the voters in favor of the politicians. Until we change BOTH the people AND the bureaucrats left behind who maintain the system, NOTHING will change - EXCEPT the faces.
IOW, we will treat a symptom, but the disease will continue merrily along unaffected!!