Of those blacks that even bother to show up to the polls this November, Obama will be lucky to eke out even 70% to 75% of their votes. Look to the recent North Carolina primary vote for proof of this.
Worse for him and his fellow Democrats, is that far fewer blacks are going to show up at all. They've been had, and they know it.
Contrast to 2008, not seeing much nobama enthusiasm, no bumper stickers, no signs, no “in yo face, WE WON, cracka” and a lots more sullenness or maybe they do actually realize the first black POTUS was a dud.
In 2008 when nobama was running and especially after the election, I saw his actions were that of a black street hustler, lots of fast talk, little result. Tenacity is not one of a street hustler's attributes. Add on the klintoon’s subtle undercutting, “Payback’s a MFer” and you can see the cold realization in nobama and moochelle’s faces. Time to stuff what they can in their pockets and move on.