Posted on 10/04/2011 12:56:47 PM PDT by therightliveswithus
I agree. I’m just dealing with the world as it is, and the dire necessity to remove the current regime from power.
OK, so you don’t like Cain. Who do you like?
Perry.
I don’t believe he would be a weak candidate for us. He’s got the practical business experience. He’s got the education. He’s spent his life climbing up the corporate ladder.
He’s the right man for the job at the right point in time. His positions on the issues are solidly conservative across the board, better than any of the other options out there. The only question is electability.
Right here, right now, Cain has shown that he can get elected in 4 states in the US, including Georgia for the republican nomination.
That’s a big step up. He needs another 20 to go from being a ‘darkhorse’ to being the favourite. Can he do it? We shall see.
Electability is a huge question. The situation is so dire, we must remove Obama, that a candidate weak here has a huge disadvantage. It does us no good to nominate someone who has little chance of winning.
I disagree with “Cain has shown that he can get elected in 4 states in the US, including Georgia for the republican nomination.” A lead in a InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV poll is a far cry from actually winning a primary election.
Then there’s the matter of the other 46 states. And that’s just for the nomination, before the long slog of the national campaign.
Can Cain do it? Obviously you think so, and I don’t think so. I believe if he rises to front-runner status his flaws and inexperience in both campaigning for and holding elective office will do his campaign in. I think his current rise is due to Perry’s fall and Cain taking his place as the not-Romney candidate.
My prediction has one caveat: I believe this will happen unless for some reason he’s given a pass by the media an competing candidates.
thanks much for your courteous replies and discussion.
“A lead in a InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV poll is a far cry from actually winning a primary election.”
Oh absolutely. But it’s a positive sign that his electibility is increasing.
“Can Cain do it? Obviously you think so, and I don’t think so. I believe if he rises to front-runner status his flaws and inexperience in both campaigning for and holding elective office will do his campaign in. I think his current rise is due to Perry’s fall and Cain taking his place as the not-Romney candidate.”
Head to head, he’s risen because Perry, despite his long campaigning experience, did poorly. That to me speaks volumes. Cain isn’t a bad public speaker, has ran a good campaign so far. He’s not perfect, but then neither is Perry.
Cain has a long slog ahead of him, his biggest drawback is name recognition. It’s only been this past week or so that he’s finally hit 55 percent name recognition among the Republican primary electorate. Up from 5 percent at the beginning.
Nationally, I believe he’s around 25-8 percent, up from about 1 percent. He’s jumped in 3 months from being pretty much unknown to about a quarter of the national electorate knowing him.
We would expect, at this rate, everyone to know him but this time next July. He should be at around 100 percent among the republicans by this January.
We’ll have see who has the best prognostication. However it turns out, I hope one of us remembers to freep the other an “I told you so” or a “who could have guessed” when it’s over.
Regards...
d-
Absolutely!
Polls are worthless this far out. The main poll by WP and ABC is a farce. I pretty much take these polls with a grain of salt.
I would think if Cain comes in #2 in IA, #3 in NH, and wins SC, he’s in very good shape.
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