Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Four European Nations Ban Short-Selling
Armstrong Economics Research and Opinions from Martin Armstrong ^ | 8.11.2011 | Martin A. Armstrong

Posted on 08/13/2011 12:02:02 AM PDT by Razzz42

A European market regulator announced Thursday night that short-selling of financial stocks in several countries would be temporarily banned in an effort to stop the support the markets in France, Belgium, Italy and Spain effective Friday. There is already a temporary short-sale ban in Greece and Turkey.

It appears that stupidity must be a new form of disease that is contagious. This is the problem with government officials. They respond ALWAYS the same way and NEVER consult history to just perhaps see if by chance their idea has been tried before and what was the result. Every crash is followed by an investigation into the proverbial short player that overwhelmed the markets and forced them to collapse. During the Great Depression, one of the most ruthless prosecutors of all time, Ferdinand Pecora (1882–1971) summoned everyone he could think of and built his career on accusing others falsely. He achieved his goal and became a commissioner of the newly formed SEC. But the notorious investigations turned up no secret plot by mythical short-sellers to create the depression.

----------------------- Page 2-----------------------

The damage of the Pecora witch-hunts of the 1930s was their contribution to sending the stock market down to 10 cents on the dollar. They lasted over a year and did far more damage because they laid the blame in a socialistic manner upon the feet of investors with no unbiased review of the real cause of the Great Depression.

The net result, without SHORT positions, is simple. The markets go down even more. The reason is clear. A short position is either (1) a hedge and banning short selling forces people to liquidate when they cannot hedge. (2) Abolishing short selling prevents a short-cover rally and eliminates the one person who buys during a panic providing essential support and liquidity. But politicians are not elected because they actually understand anything. They smile and can look the part, but that’s it. The day we can outlaw politicians from meddling with the economy, we will be much better off.

The reason panics take place is because you undermine the CONFIDENCE of the people. Once CONFIDENCE is lost, people sell. If shorts are eliminated, then the ONLY buying requires courage from someone going long. That person may eventually buy, but he usually waits until the market has at least paused and the panic selling stops. It is the FLASH CRASH we saw last year. This was one of the primary reasons WHY the market fell to 10% of the high during the Great Depression – scared the shorts.

We live in a POLITICAL-ECONOMY and those are two words that should have been divorced the first day they met. Japan Nikkei fell because people believed that government would support the market. When they lost about $1 trillion trying and failed, then the Japanese people lost CONFIDENCE in government and the LDP was thrown out of office.

The new European ban on short-selling is pure insanity. It is doing the same thing politicians do with every crash that fails and they actually expect a different result. It also highlights our problem that nobody even bothers to look at what has been tried before. We cannot hope to advance as a society with stupid management of the economy by people who are clueless.

So hold on to whatever you can grab. The politicians are out to just destroy society once again and picking up a simple history book is just too much trouble. I can predict with 100% accuracy what they will do next because they follow the same script each time like a rat in a maze that can smell the cheese. They NEVER learn about anything. They are like a mentally defective person who keeps putting their finger in the flame of a candle incapable of understanding that the flame burns. And this is what democracy is all about?

This is another brain-dead idea. So what’s next? We outlaw down-tics outright? (SEC Down-Tic Rule) Whatever they can screw-up, they are doing spectacularly.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: economics; economy; shortselling

1 posted on 08/13/2011 12:02:06 AM PDT by Razzz42
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Razzz42

Just what a market in trouble needs, less information.


2 posted on 08/13/2011 1:29:22 AM PDT by muir_redwoods (Somewhere in Kenya, a village is missing an idiot)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Razzz42
The Undesirable Effects of Banning Short Sales 36 page document at:

http://docs.edhec-risk.com/mrk/000000/Press/EDHEC_Undesirable_Effects_Short_Sales_Ban.pdf

3 posted on 08/13/2011 1:41:34 AM PDT by preacher (A government which robs from Peter to pay Paul will always have the support of Paul.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Razzz42

Banning shorts sales? Every guy going commando?


4 posted on 08/13/2011 3:56:40 AM PDT by tal hajus ("Thank you sir. May I have another?" GOP)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Razzz42

Hello zzz,

Martin is a good read. His perspectives are quite thought provoking, like his take on the S&P downgrade on U.S. treasuries.


5 posted on 08/13/2011 4:47:16 AM PDT by VA Voter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: VA Voter
Glad you are enjoying Armstrong. An education you'll never get anywhere else. Martin Armstrong Unofficial Site.
6 posted on 08/13/2011 7:23:25 AM PDT by Razzz42
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: preacher

Ban short selling but allow derivatives (leverage,CDS), makes no sense. Even the uptick rule was suspended then they wonder why markets can drop 10% in a few hours time.


7 posted on 08/13/2011 7:32:38 AM PDT by Razzz42
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Razzz42
Ban short selling but allow derivatives (leverage,CDS), makes no sense. Even the uptick rule was suspended then they wonder why markets can drop 10% in a few hours time.

The banning of short selling is a tremendous overreaction, and removes from the market one of its key efficiencies and guards against speculative bubbles which drive prices far beyond their values. That said, the Bush Administration's SEC removed two long-standing limitations on short-selling which had guarded against the misuse of short selling as a dangerously manipulative tool to intentionally drive prices down far below their values.

In 2007, the SEC lifted the 73-year "Uptick Rule" which required short sellers to wait for an rise in the prices of their borrowed shares before selling them short. Then, the Bush SEC eliminated the ban on "naked short selling" and thus allowed market manipulators to short a stock without first having to even borrow the shares -- freeing them from having to put any skin into the game and massively increasing their speculative leverage and ability to drive prices down intentionally.

These two regulatory actions by SEC Chairman Chris Cox -- combined with the unintended consequences of "mark-to-market" accounting rules established by Congress post-Enron -- set the stage for the intentional, targeted destruction of many large, healthy banks. The targets of these professional bear market raids saw their stock prices driven to near zero in a matter of weeks, only to be gobbled up for pennies by participants in the scam.

What we are witnessing is a complete moral breakdown throughout our entire society. The growing anarchy on our streets is simply a more vulgar reflection of the same gangster mentality which now pervades in government and business. Our founders saw this day coming long ago:
George Washington: " Religion and morality are the essential pillars of civil society."
Benjamin Franklin: " Only a virtuous people are capable of freedom. As nations become corrupt and vicious, they have more need of masters."
Robert Winthrop: " Men, in a word, must necessarily be controlled either by a power within them or by a power without them; either by the Word of God or by the strong arm of man; either by the Bible or by the bayonet."

We can be sad and we can be angry, but we cannot be surprised by the calamity that is unfolding. We are no longer willing to govern ourselves, and the necessary bayonet which Speaker Winthrop warned about now looms in our future. There will be no shortage of despots eager to wield it...

8 posted on 08/13/2011 9:37:52 AM PDT by Always A Marine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Always A Marine

Well said.

(Seems to boil down to greed in human nature)


9 posted on 08/13/2011 5:40:03 PM PDT by Razzz42
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson