Posted on 03/18/2016 6:25:29 PM PDT by MHT
Has anybody done their own model to see if Trump can get the numbers needed? If so, what was your combo?
Here's how I think it might happen: Start with 678. AZ 58, NY 95, PA 71, WI split 21, OR 28, WA 44, WV 34, CA 172 = 1201 leaves him 36 short but, Missouri has more for delegation from Congressional districts won, but he definitely needs at least the bulk of one more state. Any suggestions?
By Winning.
Trump’s latest delegate count is 695.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/republicans/
He should get 8 from Carson. Then he will need to round up some “loose” delegates. I am quite sure the Trump team is already hard at work with the delegates. Trump has very good advisors.
Actually, I think Trump is at 700 after the reapportionment of Rubio’s Alaska delegates. Therefore, by your math, he’s over the 1,237.
Google had him at 678 on their chart. He’s still about 20 short.
If that is what is needed.....start a hashtag #1337 (leet, in cyber-speak) and shoot for that number. Would be a pretty good meme.
Correction...just shy.
Trump will be the nominee.
But doesn’t Rubio (or anybody else) determine for himself where his delegates go?
Their count is out of date. Doesn’t include MO results, and the few post-Rubio delegates Trump picked up from AK.
Actually, I think Trump is at 700 after the reapportionment of Rubio’s Alaska delegates. Therefore, by your math, he’s over the 1,237.
And he will pick up at least 60 on 3/22 He should be right on target
As stated I think Trump has 695 delegates. I don’t know if the two he picked up from Alaska today are counted in the mix. So maybe 12 or so will be needed including Carson’s 8. Plus he has exceeded the 8 state rule.
He can absolutely pick off from Ohio.
Kasich bringing Romney to town and then Romney throwing Kasich overboard for a contested convention is really p-ssing people off.
Kasich needs to find the time to drop out, release his delegates and stump for Trump.
That is his only option.
I do not believe so. They are required to vote for him on the first vote.
But I believe that the uncommitted delegates are out their and available in sufficient quantities.
There are six from the U.S. Virgin Islands, for example.
I thought Utah’s delegates will be split proportionally? pretty sure he’ll get some of those
Is Cruz really a Canadian citizen? Is Kasich’s Trump’s running mate?
I go to:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/
scroll down past each individual candidate chart to the list of primaries by state by date and what totals each candidate needs each primary.
Currently, Trump is at 97% goal. If he wins Arizona, he needs only 9 delegates from Utah to stay on target. Anything more is gravy and pushes him over 100% goal.
state rules for alaska state that if a candidate drops prior to the state convention they are to be reapportioned accordingly. Trump and Cruz both picked up additional due to that.
My understanding is that each state sets their own rules on if a candidate is free once a candidate drops. If the state rules allow then they can vote someone else, if not then they are forced on the first ballot to vote as the election/caucus results stated.
state rules for alaska state that if a candidate drops prior to the state convention they are to be reapportioned accordingly. Trump and Cruz both picked up additional due to that.
My understanding is that each state sets their own rules on if a candidate is free once a candidate drops. If the state rules allow then they can vote someone else, if not then they are forced on the first ballot to vote as the election/caucus results stated.
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