Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Did you turn your head while you did that?
Why don't you explain what that means, since no one, including me, knows what you're talking about?
That is just such a specious argument; people are NOT abandoning their morals.
You're disgusting.
Well, you're right if they didn't have any to begin with.
(A) Elect Republican Presidents who'll nominate strict constructionists to the bench and overturn Roe vs Wade * cough Rudy/Romney cough *
(B) Lobby Congress for a Constitutional Amendment banning abortion
Anything else is just grinding your tires in neutral.
It is a crime in many states and ought to be able to be legislated against, at the will of the people.
Yes, we do; you.
You are a very chatty Admin Moderator. I like it. Are you new? Most just delete from behind the curtain. Cheers.
It's you repeating mythological personal attacks spawned by antifreepers.
I am not a Catholic, so I personally don't care if a candidate is divorced.
Rudy's first marriage was ANNULED, BTW.
Isn't bearing false witness a SIN? You have repeated committed that SIN. Perhaps you need to get shriven.
How about abortion?
Riiiight.
Feigned ignorance is so 20th century.
It's their new buzzword, SoCons, for Social Conservatives; after somebody pointed out to them that the Contract with America wasn't about SOCIAL issues, they've found yet anotehr way to separte themselves from those they deem beneath them.
"Rudy's first marriage was ANNULED, BTW."
After 12 years he 'discovered' a defect. And then there was his second and now third try. What a RINO, what a CINO!
Was Reagan a Catholic?
"Nobody on this here site is a liberal."
A few here on FR admitted to voting for Jim Webb, and now several here on FR are supporting liberal candidates for president, and you said, "nobody on this site is a liberal". Ha! Good one! That's really funny!!!
Does it mean something to you?
Narses, I asked if in YOUR OPINION, it should be made a crime. I am well aware that many states have it as a crime on their books, all of which have now been ruled unconstitutional. I want to KNOW your opinion, because I CARE about your opinion. Best.
Frankly, you are delusional, in the extreme and no, that isn't an opinion....it's a statement of fact based solely on your posts and your obsessive behavior.
Asked and answered. I assume english is a skill you have. Does the word "ought" not have sufficient clarity for you?
It means antifreeper sewage is flowing down your pipes. That's about it. No meaning at all beyond that.
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