I’ll believe it when I see it. This past winter was supposed to be a la nina - mild and dry - and it was anything but. Just goes to show that their models and forecasts are not always right.
This past winter was effected by the Tonga volcanic eruption.
A incident that triggered a hell of a lot of discussion about what effect it would have on the weather here in N America.
Not always right?!
They’ve NEVER been right!!!
When yer crap models miss by 130% you cant just hand wave it away as a 6 sigma event: it means you fundamentally have no idea what’s really happening, and your variances are a fraud designed to capture all possible events rendering the prediction meaningless.