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Only 36 Percent of People Can Solve This Logic Problem. How About You? ... It seems stupidly simple.
https://www.popularmechanics.com ^ | By Katie Dupere Nov 19, 2020

Posted on 11/23/2020 9:24:03 AM PST by Red Badger

A survey found only 36 percent of people could find the right answer to a seemingly simple logic problem, according to economics and math pro Presh Talwalkar of the YouTube channel Mind Your Decisions.

Here's the problem:

"There are three hats, each with an accompanying statement.

Hat One: The cat is in this hat.

Hat Two: The cat is not in this hat.

Hat Three: The cat is not in Hat One.

Exactly one of the statements is true. Exactly one hat contains a cat. Which hat contains the cat?"

The answer options are:

1) Hat One;

2) Hat Two;

3) Hat Three;

4) None of the hats; or

5) Not enough information.

Okay, so maybe this problem isn't as simple as it seems. But thankfully, Talwalkar broke down how to solve the logic problem in a new YouTube video.

Did you solve the problem without cheating?

VIDEO AT LINK.................

So, what is the correct answer?

Well, first, you have to logically consider each case, assuming the cat is in each hat, then seeing if each statement applies to that case. If you end up with one true statement and two false statements, you have the correct cat-in-hat placement.

Let's assume the cat is in Hat One.

Hat One's statement is obviously true in this scenario. But if the cat is in Hat One, the cat would not be in Hat Two, making the second statement also true. This means the cat is not in Hat One because if it was, two statements would be true—and that clearly doesn't satisfy the conditions of the problem.

Well, what if we assume the cat is in Hat Three?

Hat Three’s statement would then be true, while Hat One’s statement would be false. So far, so good for only one true statement in the bunch. But the issue comes when considering Hat Two’s statement: The cat is not in Hat Two. That would also be true, assuming the cat were in Hat Three. With two true statements, this isn’t the right answer.

Spoiler Alert:

The cat is in Hat Two—and here’s why. Assuming the cat is in Hat Two, the statement corresponding with that hat is false. In addition, the first statement is also false, as the cat is in Hat Two, not Hat One. The true statement then is Hat Three’s statement. The cat is not in Hat One. This answer satisfies the confusion conditions of the problem, putting the cat in Hat Two with the correct statement being that of Hat Three.

Trust us: Watching the problem play out in Talwalkar’s video is helpful in understanding this complex logic test. The math pro says most people run into trouble assuming the cat must be in a hat where the statement is true. But that's obviously not the case. The two need to be thought as independent conditions to solve the problem correctly.

That said, we'd just pick up each hat until we found the damn cat, but that’s probably not as impressive.


TOPICS: Education; Health/Medicine; Society; Weird Stuff
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To: Red Badger

Are you a member of the RED Hat SOCIETY?

But have always assumed ,you had an X and a Y?

Be what you want to be!!


61 posted on 11/23/2020 10:00:59 AM PST by DUMBGRUNT ("The enemy has overrun us. We are blowing up everything. Vive la France!"Dien Bien Phu last message.)
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To: Red Badger
I found it:


62 posted on 11/23/2020 10:02:51 AM PST by Rio
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To: Red Badger

If only 36% can “solve” this problem, that is barely more than one would expect from pure guesswork. More like 4% actually “solve” it, and of the remaining 96% one third, or 32% of the total population just make a lucky guess.

Solve

(1-p)/3 + p = 36% for p

p = 4%

Where p = percentage who actually solve it,
(1-p)/3 = percentage who make a lucky guess.

The more important question, of course, is, “Do you want to pick door No. 2?”


63 posted on 11/23/2020 10:03:15 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets ("Women's intuition" gave us the Salem witch trials and Kavanaugh hearings. Change my mind.)
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To: Red Badger

Actually the correct answer is that the cat is on the menu at Chinese restaurant as General Tso’s Beef


64 posted on 11/23/2020 10:04:08 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

You keep your p to yourself.


65 posted on 11/23/2020 10:04:30 AM PST by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer”)
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To: Red Badger

The real question is where is the Moose? It bit my sister in the shower...


66 posted on 11/23/2020 10:04:44 AM PST by nevergore (I have a terrible rash on my covfefe....)
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To: polymuser

That’s no cat...That’s a New York City rat...


67 posted on 11/23/2020 10:05:10 AM PST by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
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To: Red Badger; Saint Athanasius
A survey found only 36 percent of people could find the right answer to a seemingly simple logic problem

Exactly why we're in the mess we're in...

68 posted on 11/23/2020 10:07:56 AM PST by rhinohunter
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To: Red Badger

i am picking hat two with this logic...

only one statement can be true. if the hat is in hat 1 then that statement is true and statement two would be true too. statement three can be true if all things point to hat 2.

good luck.

t


69 posted on 11/23/2020 10:09:33 AM PST by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world or something)
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To: Red Badger

this is not that difficult when you know that only one statement is true...


70 posted on 11/23/2020 10:13:32 AM PST by latina4dubya (when i have money i buy books... if i have anything left i buy 6-inch heels and a bottle of wine...)
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To: PIF

Garfield on my fork.


71 posted on 11/23/2020 10:15:48 AM PST by polymuser (A socialist is a communist without the power to take everything from their citizens...yet.)
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To: Red Badger

But what if its Schrodinger’s cat??


72 posted on 11/23/2020 10:16:07 AM PST by alabama_heart (t)
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To: blueunicorn6

Yeah! That’s p’ing me off!


73 posted on 11/23/2020 10:16:35 AM PST by polymuser (A socialist is a communist without the power to take everything from their citizens...yet.)
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To: PIF

Garfield On My Fork

https://youtu.be/wOy2QCssTaI


74 posted on 11/23/2020 10:18:57 AM PST by polymuser (A socialist is a communist without the power to take everything from their citizens...yet.)
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To: Pollard

That was my answer.
The cat is UNDER the hat, not IN it.


75 posted on 11/23/2020 10:19:46 AM PST by a real Sheila (Epstein didn't kill himself, but Hunter probably will.)
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To: Red Badger

This is the problem with philosophers and logicians. Nice puzzle that has no relevance. We could try with a real world example

Biden won the election and didn’t cheat
Trump won the election honestly
All extra votes, bundles of votes found and errors, ALWAYS benefit democrats.

Which of the above is true. There is a real world example.


76 posted on 11/23/2020 10:21:28 AM PST by cyberstoic (I )
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To: Red Badger

3 cancels 1. 2 is out. So hat 3 is where the cat is.


77 posted on 11/23/2020 10:22:02 AM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (Love your enemies. Turn the other cheek. )
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To: Red Badger
It's easy but the trick is

They don't put this statement

Exactly one of the statements is true. Exactly one hat contains a cat. Which hat contains the cat?"

in the picture, so people miss it. Kind of the way people read the headline and not the article.

78 posted on 11/23/2020 10:22:45 AM PST by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: All

I searched for Schrodingers cat in a quantum field. The cat left the box searching for string (or at least that’s the theory. He is an undead cat (neither dead nor alive). Checking with Heisenberg, he said the cats position cannot be determined precisely. So I gave up.


79 posted on 11/23/2020 10:23:19 AM PST by BipolarBob (Trump was elected, Biden was Deep State selected.)
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To: Red Badger

Didn;t see “Don;t give a shtt” as one fo the possible answers/


80 posted on 11/23/2020 10:26:45 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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