I imagine the Big XII is eventually doomed. The previous ADs at Texas and Oklahoma said the two schools would not leave without the other. Oklahoma also stipulated they would insist Oklahoma State went along with any move.
I predict those three schools and one more (Texas Tech or Baylor, presumably) would join the Pac-12 and make it the Pac-16. That will cut the other six schools loose where a few may go to the Big 10, SEC or ACC and the rest dropping back into a lower conference.
The big problem is the Longhorn Network. Any conference that takes in Texas will insist Texas divide up the ESPN money and, so far, Texas has refused to budge. They can look to Notre Dame who also doesn’t share their tv revenue from NBC with anyone else.
Eventually, there will be four SuperConferences and their champions will become the four finalists so anyone not in the PAC, SEC, ACC or B10 will have no chance at the national championship. That realization will push Notre Dame to align more with the ACC and force Texas and Oklahoma (with Oklahoma State) to flee to a stronger conference.
Sorry... I don’t agree.
OU also has their own network, ya know... As do about 6 other schools now.
OU and Ok State are NOT good fits for the PAC 12, academically. And, this may surprise you, but THAT matters more to the PAC 12 Presidents than the football programs.
I think Texas would go Indy before they join the PAC 12 or B1G. Just NOT good cultural fits in either of those leauges.
If there is a further consolidation, we’ll end up in the SEC or ACC (with a new name). But, I think it’s more likely that the Big 12 adds two, maybe even 4 teams... (Like, maybe SMU and Houston, or UCF and Cincy)
I also think the CFP will expand to 6 or 8 teams at the end of the current TV deal. Still several years away, but it’ll happen.