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Here's What Would Happen Right After Trump Fired Mueller
Vice ^ | 4/11/2018 | Matt Taylor

Posted on 04/11/2018 1:54:39 PM PDT by Eddie01

The idea that Donald Trump might fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller and in so doing spark some kind of constitutional crisis has been gaining traction for months now. Political junkies, especially on the liberal side of the spectrum, have breathlessly discussed the scenario in neighborhood bars and on approximately 1,000 different podcasts.

Protests against the firing have been preemptively organized by progressive advocacy groups. Even though Trump's 2016 campaign was marked by a contempt for the rule of law and bursts of actual violence, and even though he abruptly fired FBI Director James Comey last year (prompting Mueller's appointment), sacking Mueller would be different. Not only would it get rid of the man investigating Trump's disgraced cronies and their myriad ties to shady Russians, it might signal that the president is going to start flat-out ignoring the law from here on out.

This week, those fears took on a new urgency. On Monday, FBI agents raided the home, hotel, and office of Trump's longtime attorney-slash-consigliere, Michael Cohen. According to the New York Times, they sought evidence related to payments made to women Trump allegedly had affairs with in 2006. (They may also be interested in some of Cohen's other extracurricular business activities.)

Even though the investigation of the lawyer does not appear to be a direct part of Mueller's probe—federal prosecutors local to New York have been leading the charge, acting on a referral from Mueller—the president was, by all accounts, deeply shaken by news of the raid, and promptly lashed out at the larger investigation that has haunted his presidency for well over a year now.

When reporters asked Trump Monday if he would fire the special counsel, he responded ominously, “We’ll see what happens.”

It's not the first time this president has put out a trial balloon about firing the man charged with investigating him. Recognizing the growing threat to Mueller's job security, a group of four senators (two Democrats and two Republicans) have merged bills to protect the special counsel from presidential retaliation, though It's unclear how likely such a bill is to become law. And, as they have before, some Republicans are publicly warning the president that firing Mueller would amount, as Senate Judiciary Chairman Chuck Grassley put it, to "suicide" for Trump.

For some context on just how bad things are at this moment compared to October 1973—when an embattled Richard Nixon went on his own firing spree in hopes of scuttling the Watergate probe—I called up my favorite legal scholar, Noah Feldman. The historian and Harvard Law professor is usually pretty measured in assessing Trump's presidency, but he said some things that genuinely frightened me.

VICE: How do you think where we are now, historically speaking, compares to October of 1973?

Noah Feldman: It feels pretty different to me in terms of mood. There was emerging at that point, I think, some clarity to the effect that there had been a crime and there seemed to be increasing evidence of a cover-up. Here, we know there was serious Russian effort to influence the election—because there have been indictments on that from Mueller’s team. We know there are crimes associated with that. But the idea that there has been a cover-up directed from within the White House is, at this point, still very much in the realm of speculation. It may be that Mueller’s team has evidence of that, but if so they’re holding it pretty close to the vest.

Is your understanding that the president is correct in asserting that he has the power to fire the special counsel?

Technically speaking, the president would have to first repeal the regulation that is in place in the Department of Justice [governing Mueller's job]. Now, it is within the president’s power to direct the acting attorney general for this purpose—Rod Rosenstein—to rescind the regulation, and then [Trump] could direct him to fire Mueller.

That's because we have no evidence there's just cause to remove Mueller?

Correct, and the regulation requires cause. But the president could direct the Department of Justice to rescind the regulation. And at that point, Mueller is just an employee of the Department of Justice and the president has the authority to fire him. So there’s an intervening step that has to take place. So when Trump says, "I believe I can do this," we don’t have to take him literally to mean he can do it without rescinding the regulation. But what he’s saying is through that route, he has the legal authority to do it.

If Rosenstein refuses to play ball in this scenario, is the idea that the president would remove him and find someone who would repeal that regulation? Yeah, that's the Saturday Night Massacre model. I predict Rosenstein would refuse to remove the regulation.

"Worst-case scenario for him is he fires Mueller and he fails to fire him, and Mueller is like, 'I'm not fired.'"

Then it would go to the solicitor general, also a Republican—I'm not going to ask you to speculate about who would do the president's bidding... Someone in the building will do it at some point. Not every DOJ employee will quit. You could also imagine a scenario where Trump really would screw himself up: Trump could just try to do it himself. Just announce, "I have withdrawn the regulation and I hereby fire him." At that point Mueller will get on TV and say, "I am still in office, he has failed to fire me legally, the regulation has not been followed, he lacked the authority to fire me," and there we would have a genuine constitutional crisis over the question of like: Has he been fired? That would be a real crisis because there would be two competing views about what the Constitution demands under these circumstance.

That may have to go to court or some other mechanism and under those circumstances Trump will have made it way worse for himself. Worst-case scenario for him is he fires Mueller and he fails to fire him, and Mueller is like, "I'm not fired." That could actually happen, frankly.

OK, so let's say Trump does decide to go nuclear. What do you think that actually looks like in practice? How do the key players and institutions respond? Everyone will immediately draw an analogy to the Saturday Night Massacre, and then the $54,000 question is how will the Republican congressmen and senators react? Let’s assume this is all happening before the midterms, so we have the Republican House and Republican Senate.

If Republican House members move to impeach, then the game will change very drastically and that will put also a lot of pressure on Republican senators. That would really be remarkable, transformational change.

If we don’t see that movement immediately, if they act like ordinary politicians and hold their cards close to their vests, then Democrats will probably find themselves screaming and yelling for impeachment using the parallel of the Saturday Night Massacre. And then Republicans will do a gut check and make a choice: Will they move in that direction—worried that they’ll be harmed in the midterms—or will they tough it out and think it’ll actually help them in the midterms that the Democrats are calling for impeachment? Right now the conventional wisdom is that talk of impeachment is bad for the Democrats and good for the Republicans.

The question is would a firing of the Saturday Night type move the goalpost and change that? That’s a big gamble for Trump to take but it’s conceivable that he would take it. And if he did, what we would have to find out pretty darn quickly is what do the Republican House and Senate think? What would the Wall Street Journal editorial page say? We know what the New York Times editorial page will say. It will say, “Impeach.” But will the Journal editorial page say, “Well, we should impeach but not convict.” What will Fox News say?

If there is a coordinated effort to protect the president and the Republican House decides not to impeach, we will just be in a new world where all the Democratic yelling about impeachment in the world won’t have made a difference. And I have to say, I believe that is a possible scenario.

How could Mueller respond himself, short of a lawsuit or some kind of legal action?

Mueller has signaled [there may be] a report on obstruction of justice. That strongly suggests his team has a document ready to go right now. What I think would probably happen is that if Mueller were fired, the Mueller team report on obstruction would immediately emerge. And my guess is that actually includes a further paragraph they've prepared in advance that says the firing of Comey was obstruction and the firing of Mueller will be definitive proof of obstruction. I think there will be some way that the Mueller team will have an exploding mechanism.

One question is, we always talk about firing Mueller, [but] will he fire the whole team? if he fires Mueller and the whole team, then they can release this report in their private capacities somehow. If he fires just Mueller, whoever's Mueller's number two can immediately release this and can go public and can say, "The president has obstructed justice not just with Comey but with firing Mueller." And then so then our whole conversation is going to turn to: Is the president obstructing justice in firing Mueller?

Leaving aside Congress, what do you think would go on inside the law enforcement apparatus of the country if Trump did go nuclear like this?

The only thing I could imagine would be mass resignations. And I think a lot of people would not mass resign and be urged not to, because you don't want the whole Justice Department to shut down.

There are two tools. There's the legal tool, which is resignation, and then there would be like a shelter-in-place tool, where they would do a slowdown, or refuse to do the business of government, or sign letters. Or you could [see] like, walkouts at the Department of Justice, where DOJ employees in white shirts and ties could march silently to the White House, stand there, turn around, and march back.

Does it matter if it appears Trump is spurred to do this by his own attorney being searched?

That would make it far worse in terms of it looking like obstruction of justice. In fact you could make the argument that Mueller knew exactly what he was doing and that by making this about the president's lawyer, he really personalized it in such a way that if Trump fires him, he can go on television and be like, "I was fired for one reason and one reason only, namely that I was getting too close to the president, and therefore it's obstruction of justice to fire me."

Who has the power to check Trump if he goes this route? Honestly, other than executive branch officials who can just resign, it's down to Congress. The only other option would be the judiciary, and they would only come into the picture if Trump fails to cross his t's and dot his i's. Short of that, the honest truth is the framers set up a system that depends on the separation of powers.

If the president abuses his power, in the end, the popular check comes from the House and the Senate. If that breaks, then it's just a terrible design flaw in the Constitution, and a serious challenge to the legitimacy of our constitutional structure as capable of sustaining the rule of law.


TOPICS: Reference; Society
KEYWORDS: barfalert; fire; mueller; trump
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To: Eddie01

Who gives a crap how the peons will react. Drop the farking hammer on sessions, rosenstein, and mueller NOW!!


41 posted on 04/11/2018 2:47:50 PM PDT by Electric Graffiti (Jeff Sessions IS the insurance policy)
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To: Eddie01

Good grief. Vice is well known for hiring 50 IQ liberal apes who sniff jockstraps and wear antennas on their heads to receive instructions from grey alien lizards.


42 posted on 04/11/2018 2:48:27 PM PDT by sergeantdave (Teach a man to fish and he'll steal your gear and sell it)
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To: Eddie01

Mass protest from the DOJ folks?? Maybe from the top tear of management who are corrupted swamp rats. Rank and file folks, never happen. How about this, Trump fires Rosenstein and then tells Sessions who to replace Rosenstein with ( a bulldog constitutional patriot) and then Trump fires Sessions. Then bulldog cleans out the swamp.


43 posted on 04/11/2018 2:48:40 PM PDT by drypowder
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To: Eddie01

Actually I found it a very short read. A couple of sentences was all it took to identify the “mental status” of the entire article.
More far-left drivel, hoping to bring down a duly elected President and ignore the clear vote of the citizenry.
In the meantime the far-left celebrates the prior TWO presidents whose depridations makes the “charges” against Trump look like a Bugs Bunny cartoon.


44 posted on 04/11/2018 2:50:06 PM PDT by CaptainAmiigaf (.)
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To: Migraine

send in the Marines.


45 posted on 04/11/2018 2:50:59 PM PDT by ichabod1 (If there is to be war, let it begin here.)
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To: sergeantdave

Yep. Check out posts 31 and 37 =>

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3646774/posts?page=31#31

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3646774/posts?page=37#37


46 posted on 04/11/2018 2:54:53 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: SoCal Pubbie
Bingo! Your #16 succinctly says it all; especially. "He knows that this is a political battle, not a legal one".

Trump hasn't done anything yet because too many so-called 's have got their heads up their back pockets.

It would be interesting to know just what restraints, if any, may work to legally prevent a president from "modifying" "regulations" of an Executive branch department. I suspect none, unless those regs have been codified and in light of the current threats by the RINO's it doesn't sound like they have.

Nonetheless, bottom line is that it is a political battle and the pres is not at all presently well-served by his party.

47 posted on 04/11/2018 2:54:56 PM PDT by frog in a pot (Obama's "Remaking of America" continues apace in the absence of political opposition.)
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To: Eddie01

If the repubs go along with this impeachment thing and get rid of trump there will never again hold any position of power in Washington


48 posted on 04/11/2018 2:57:16 PM PDT by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: Eddie01; LucyT
An interesting article but it assumes Trump or one of the other players is willing to take significant risk and that isn't likely to happen--in this game, people don't take the risk when loss is fatal because continuing to play gives you the opportunity to turn the game around.

Instead, what should be done is to indict Mueller himself for participation in the Uranium One transaction and for other acts and events outlined in Corsi's new book ("Killing the Deep State").

I do not understand what is taking so long to implement that--it will put Mueller on the defensive and tend to bring the rest of his activities down--might take a while.

49 posted on 04/11/2018 2:57:25 PM PDT by David
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To: Eddie01

Thanks for the reminder - I need to check and clean all my gear again.


50 posted on 04/11/2018 2:57:55 PM PDT by rockrr ( Everything is different now...)
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To: Responsibility2nd

“I believe Mueller WANTS to be fired. Why else would he pull that stupid stunt at Coen’s office?”

As opposed to all the other illegal, jack-booted stupid stuff he’s been pulling over the last year?

What planet are you people living on? How much oxy are you people smoking?

This is close to a year old now:

The special counsel’s reason for being is 3 fold:

1) Embroil the Trump administration with indictments-scandals with the ultimate goal of toppling(impeachment-resignation)

2) Use the SC to bury the mountain of high crime evidence against Hillary & the O’muslim regime.

3) Show the people what happens if you want to go to work for the Trump administration...You’ll be crucified by the propaganda press and indicted by a soviet-style special counsel. Your house raided in the dark of the night by the goose-steppers of the FBI.

Mueller is not going to stop until he’s stopped. Fire him and let Congress try and impeach Trump over nothing. It will be too late when Mueller presents a laundry list of crimes, misdemeanors, obstruction of justice to the congress in which to impeach. And HE WILL AND THEY WILL.


51 posted on 04/11/2018 2:58:05 PM PDT by Electric Graffiti (Jeff Sessions IS the insurance policy)
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To: ichabod1

“send in the Marines.”

We are here ^^ It’s past time to round up these high treason co-conspirators and put them at gitmo.


52 posted on 04/11/2018 3:00:40 PM PDT by Electric Graffiti (Jeff Sessions IS the insurance policy)
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To: Migraine

Good idea.


53 posted on 04/11/2018 3:02:13 PM PDT by conservative98
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To: DarthVader

54 posted on 04/11/2018 3:03:34 PM PDT by Dick Bachert (Why are damn near ALL the SEX FIENDS Democrats?)
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To: frog in a pot

That was intended to be “so-called R’s”, but after reading that article I had too many synapses firing off.


55 posted on 04/11/2018 3:04:20 PM PDT by frog in a pot (Obama's "Remaking of America" continues apace in the absence of political opposition.)
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To: Eddie01

NOTHING would happen.

All the usual suspects would wet their panties, and nothing else.

They keep referring to Nixon, but there is a huge difference- Nixon actually had some guilt.

Trump should give Mueller a month to wrap it up.


56 posted on 04/11/2018 3:04:26 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: Mr. K

exactly. some folks hate having to come up with an obvious thought.

spot on brother.


57 posted on 04/11/2018 3:15:57 PM PDT by Eddie01 (I learned it on FreeRepublic.com, same as you.)
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To: Billthedrill
"Get a load of this: Here, we know there was serious Russian effort to influence the election—because there have been indictments on that from Mueller’s team. Really? The fact that there are indictments tells us all that? Indictments of whom? Huh...doesn't say. For what? Huh...doesn't say"

Muller has announced 19 indictments of which 13 are, "of Russian persons or entities". None of those have implicated any participation by any Trump associates.

Flynn and Manafort are two other indictments and neither are collusion related but, "not being truthful with investigators" process indictments. He may have withheld exculpatory evidence in the Flynn case where the invastigators felt he was being truthful.

I can't come up with anything else off the top of my head. Anybody?

58 posted on 04/11/2018 3:16:49 PM PDT by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything.)
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To: ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton
RE: Fire Rosenstein

Thinking along those lines. Charge Rosenstein with obstruction of justice for failure to comply with Congressional subpoenas. THEN fire him. Next, charge Mueller with treason in Uranium One scandal. Probably can also charge obstruction of justice. Park both of their behinds in jail while sorting it out. Even if it seems to risky to fire them, having criminal charges of their own to deal with could tie them up, and permit investigation of their own communications.

It would help Trump if the Republican Congress would pass a resolution supporting the firing of each. RINOS would probably prevent that, but...

59 posted on 04/11/2018 3:17:55 PM PDT by Missouri gal
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To: Mmogamer

I fear some nutcase will raze their houses and the houses of their kin.

Everyone involved.

It scares me.


60 posted on 04/11/2018 3:20:04 PM PDT by Eddie01 (I learned it on FreeRepublic.com, same as you.)
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