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Big Republican Advantages Are Eroding in the Race for House Control
MSN/ New York Times ^ | February 12, 2018

Posted on 02/12/2018 5:54:52 PM PST by SMGFan

The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot has slipped over the last few weeks. But Republicans have gradually lost advantages of their own. Slowly but surely, the considerable structural advantages — like incumbency, geography and gerrymandering — that give the Republicans a chance to survive a so-called wave election are fading, giving Democrats a clearer path to a House majority in November.

The Republicans still retain formidable advantages, enough to win the House while losing the popular vote by a wide margin. But their edge has shrunk considerably over the last few months, and even more over the last few years.

(And it concludes )

Even so, Democrats still seem poised to have viable if imperfect candidates in a large number of battleground districts. Upshot estimates indicate that Democrats would need to win the popular vote by 7.4 points — albeit with a healthy margin of error of plus or minus more than four points — to take the House. Today, most estimates put the generic congressional ballot very near that number. So far from the election, the fight for control remains a tossup.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2018election; fakenews; mediawingofthednc; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; nyslimes; partisanmediashills; presstitutes
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To: SMGFan

Now, can The New York Times rewrite this story from the Republican point of view.


21 posted on 02/12/2018 7:04:41 PM PST by Ge0ffrey
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To: SMGFan

Never underestimate the stupidity of the GOP.


22 posted on 02/12/2018 7:07:35 PM PST by Chauncey Gardiner
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To: SMGFan

All I’ve seen the Democrats do for almost two years is go after Trump and work furiously to get amnesty for illegals. Trump hate and going to the mat for illegal aliens is hardly a blueprint for a massive congressional tidal wave.


23 posted on 02/12/2018 7:11:00 PM PST by dowcaet
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To: SMGFan

the ny times is doing lots of wishful thinking. the economy will be roaring and the demonrats will be slaughtered.


24 posted on 02/12/2018 7:14:30 PM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SMGFan

Leadership in the House and Senate the GOP has none


25 posted on 02/12/2018 7:17:32 PM PST by butlerweave
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To: SMGFan

MSN AND The New Yawk Times. LOL! A pair of lying losers.


26 posted on 02/12/2018 7:24:19 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (#NotARussianBot)
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To: SMGFan

I guess we will ignore the primaries.


27 posted on 02/12/2018 7:26:58 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: SMGFan

These are the same folks who predicted Hillary would be president with Pelosi in charge of the House


28 posted on 02/12/2018 7:41:34 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: SMGFan

This is called by some, “whistling past the graveyard” ...


29 posted on 02/12/2018 7:43:48 PM PST by Nabber
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To: SMGFan

C’mon... The NYT! They were fully prepared to immaculate Hildebeest last election.


30 posted on 02/12/2018 7:50:25 PM PST by Bob Ireland (The Democrat Party is a criminal enterprise)
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To: SMGFan

yeah, this is the meme the leftist fake stream media has settled on ... it’s their 2018 version of “Trump has no path to victory” ...


31 posted on 02/12/2018 8:02:19 PM PST by catnipman ( Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: SMGFan
...structural advantages — like incumbency, geography and gerrymandering ...talk about grasping at straws to make an argument.....
32 posted on 02/12/2018 9:04:15 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: SMGFan

These leftist freaks are so all over the map you can’t get a coherent dose of lies and propaganda, just the printed version of mouth-frothing hysterics.


33 posted on 02/13/2018 2:54:19 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: SMGFan

Kind of ironic that a few weeks ago they were crowing about a “Blue Wave” coming and are now saying the Repubs are “losing their advantage”...can’t make this crap up...


34 posted on 02/13/2018 4:19:16 AM PST by trebb (I stopped picking on the mentally ill hypocrites who pose as conservatives...;-})
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To: SMGFan

Did you hear...Hillary has an 88% chance of being elected!!!!!


35 posted on 02/13/2018 5:43:27 AM PST by ontap
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To: ontap

I thought it was 110%!


36 posted on 02/13/2018 5:44:28 AM PST by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: hal ogen

Numbers aren’t what’s important....the fact she won is what’s important.


37 posted on 02/13/2018 5:45:57 AM PST by ontap
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To: SMGFan

Whistling past the graveyard wishful “Hillary Clinton can’t possibly lose” talk.


38 posted on 02/13/2018 6:16:36 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism us truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: qam1

Trump said 1.8 million. You are deluded.


39 posted on 02/13/2018 2:27:42 PM PST by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: SMGFan

That’s funny - a few weeks ago it was going to be a “blue wave”, and now the REPUBLICAN advantages are dissipating?

WTH?


40 posted on 02/13/2018 2:28:37 PM PST by MortMan (We are living in interesting times.)
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