Sorry for asking, but who is Helmut Northpot?
Helmut Norpoth is this guy
https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/helmut-norpoth/trump-nearcertain-to-defe_b_9403762.html
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/campaign/295532-why-a-trump-victory-in-november-is-a-virtually-certainty