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To: bray
What did Sabato predict during the primaries? A "Hillary-Jeb" matchup with both cruising to easy and early primary victories? (my best guess)

Sure, mid week, this is what that guy was saying and surely it a sound prediction. But this is 3 months away. He is friends with all the RINOs in the Beltway area. I doubt he predicted the Eric Cantor loss, which is right in his backyard.

132 posted on 08/06/2016 11:19:02 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

I don’t think he made a prediction. But this is the same map that came out Mar 2016, based on polls at the time that had Clinton 10+ points in the lead.

So there is a long way to go, and after the rise of Trump we’re not even close to 100% confident of much of anything. But a general election race that at the start of the cycle looked like a Toss-up just isn’t right now, which is why we have made such dramatic changes to our ratings.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-only-thing-that-matters/


148 posted on 08/06/2016 11:37:05 AM PDT by erlayman (yw)
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