I base my position that folks do not start to pay any attention to Presidential politics until after Labor Day as a general rule. That is a fact.
Polls can be played around with to get the right results.
That’s definitely true about polls. But what I’m saying is that in 2012 many were saying the polls were deliberately skewed to show an Obama lead when Romney was really ahead. The intent, it was said, was to create an air of an inevitable Obama victory, and therefore suppress support for Romney.
As it turned out, the polls showing Obama with a modest but decisive lead were correct. Or I suppose it’s possible that the polls were indeed skewed, and they had the desired effect of influencing the outcome, but that seems unlikely.