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EgyptAir 804 disappears from radar Paris-Cairo - PPRuNe Forums
PPRune ^ | 5/22/2016 | Staff

Posted on 05/22/2016 11:03:29 AM PDT by GilGil

#37

Given the altitude and airspeed at the point of disappearance the plane, or parts of it, will likely be quite some distance south east of the last know location, which could be in shallower parts of the Med.

Discarding the usual creative but pointless theories, all we know with any degree of certainty is that the plane disappeared suddenly at cruising altitude (or thereabouts) having just entered Egyptian airspace. The rapidity of the event suggests some kind of very sudden 'mechanical' failure - cause unknown. Realistically there are only two broad possibilities; explosive device or a sudden mechanical/structural/engine-type failure.

For some reason I can't help feeling that there is some significance in whatever happened did so just as the flight entered Egyptian airspace.

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TOPICS: Society; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: a320; airbus; airbusa320; alexandria; clinton; crete; egypt; egyptair; election; europeanunion; flight804; france; greece; jihad; ms804; nato; terrorism; trump; waronterror
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A group of pilots blog about the Egyptian plane that disappeared. There is more info here than anything in the news. I posted post #37 because is summarizes what happened up to now pretty simply. Either an explosion like a bomb or a severe malfunction.

The problem with a severe malfunction is that pilots could have radioed for help very quickly. They did not. The hundreds of posts are interesting especially form the experienced pilots.

1 posted on 05/22/2016 11:03:29 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil

Egypt Air had that plane that ‘disappeared’ out of New York a few years back, Flight 990 in 1999. Something about one of the pilots needing to see Allah prior to landing? To avoid any hint of bias, that Germanwings crash in 2015 was determined to be a suicide by the co-pilot. How do you protect yourself from that nut BEHIND the yoke?

As for this one, it is still too early to know for sure but at least it is not like that Malaysian Air flight in the south Indian Ocean, so far away from everything.

God’s blessings on all of the innocents who have died here.


2 posted on 05/22/2016 11:19:11 AM PDT by SES1066 (Quality, Speed or Economical - Any 2 of 3 except in government - 1 at best but never #3!)
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To: GilGil

Are they discussing whether the ACARS transmissions indicate that the trouble all started in or near the cockpit.


3 posted on 05/22/2016 11:20:09 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: GilGil

If you go by the general pilot rules....once encountering some type of serious emergency where you need to take the plane down in altitude....you make a 90-degree right turn...which is what they did. From that point, no radio contact. I think whatever happened....affected the communications capability of the plane (massive failure). I will predict once they get the boxes back and examine things...the crew probably had 60 seconds or less because they impacted on the water, and their comms were wiped out.

I will note...nothing presents any evidence of a terror act yet. Notice no one is bragging for their organization?


4 posted on 05/22/2016 11:46:14 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: pepsionice

If you have an emergency that requires immediate descent and you are over a large expanse of water with the nearest airport directly in front of you, why do you say the general rule is to first make a 90 degree right turn that takes you further away from land and the nearest airport?


5 posted on 05/22/2016 11:57:12 AM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: Kirkwood
...why do you say the general rule is to first make a 90 degree right turn...?

I'm not a pilot, but if my radio was out and I knew I was on someone's radar screen, I might turn just to get someone's attention. Kind of a non-verbal distress call?

Of course, if the plane came apart in mid-air, pieces of it might fly off in any and all direction...

6 posted on 05/22/2016 12:07:14 PM PDT by ZOOKER (Until further notice the /s is implied...)
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To: GilGil

Or a stinger from sinai


7 posted on 05/22/2016 12:07:38 PM PDT by struggle (The)
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To: ZOOKER

So what distress are you signaling by making a controlled 90-degree turn?


8 posted on 05/22/2016 12:12:53 PM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: pepsionice

Last night an expert on terror address the quietness from the terrorist. He said it was not a good sign That this could be a run through of a new technique. The silence may simply be the terrorist sitting back watching us try to figure out what they had done. He also pointed out a couple of similarities with other plane crashes.
It’s occurence just as plane was being handed off to another country among other things.


9 posted on 05/22/2016 12:26:30 PM PDT by hoosiermama (W1237 in Under budget. Ahead of schedule! Go TRUMP GO)
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To: Kirkwood
So what distress are you signaling by making a controlled 90-degree turn?

"I changed course without your permission. I can't talk to you. Something is wrong."

10 posted on 05/22/2016 12:35:35 PM PDT by ZOOKER (Until further notice the /s is implied...)
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To: ZOOKER
Why not change altitude and keep heading to the airport? You really want to fly with a pilot who decides to make a right turn toward oblivion when you are already entering the airspace controlled by the airport? And sp you send your right turn "message" with what expected outcome? What the hell is the ATC going to do to help you when you are now heading in the wrong direction?
11 posted on 05/22/2016 12:55:52 PM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: pepsionice

There was a report that Isis claimed responsibility.


12 posted on 05/22/2016 12:56:46 PM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: Kirkwood

BBC had a aviation expert on, who said if your priority was to get rapid descent (losing cabin pressure), you’d make the 90-degree turn....which is exactly what the Egypt radar guys say they did. Because they never did radio contact....I think they lost full functionality on comms when this whole thing started up.


13 posted on 05/22/2016 1:46:05 PM PDT by pepsionice
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To: pepsionice
I will note...nothing presents any evidence of a terror act yet. Notice no one is bragging for their organization?

Of course it is early to ascribe a motivation for the crash.
We will get the usual eyewitnesses who saw the plane on fire, and the eyewitnesses who saw an object from the surface gong up to hit the plane, and the Pilot getting religion and crashing it and just about every theory possible.

As Capt. Obvious would say; This crash needs more time to pass to sort out the facts.

Based on the Malaysian flight disappearance like it or not, CNN will out do FOX in coverage of this disaster. - Tom

14 posted on 05/22/2016 1:48:51 PM PDT by Capt. Tom
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To: struggle
Or a stinger from sinai

There was a report from UK about a month or so about 2 islamic pilots discussing terror attacks on a separate emergency frequency while in flight...both were subsequently tracked and busted.....they forgot that these channels are monitored 24/7 from various locations.

Could be the suicidal pilot communicated his position to someone with a rocket launcher.

15 posted on 05/22/2016 2:14:19 PM PDT by spokeshave (Somewhere there is a ceiling for Trump.....Yeah, it's called The Oval Office)
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To: pepsionice

That was no aviation expert.


16 posted on 05/22/2016 2:46:15 PM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: struggle

Too high and too far away.


17 posted on 05/22/2016 3:15:20 PM PDT by BwanaNdege
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To: GilGil

Mr GG2, a pilot and former employee of Boeing says the gyrations of the plane’s final movements have all the earmarks of a wing falling off probably due to an explosion.


18 posted on 05/22/2016 4:32:12 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Mr GG2, a pilot and former employee of Boeing says the gyrations of the plane’s final movements have all the earmarks of a wing falling off probably due to an explosion.
________________________

Confirmation of terrorism should translate to another 5 point bump for Trump over Hillary.


19 posted on 05/22/2016 6:12:38 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil

Yes if this plane blew up Trump is a prophet.


20 posted on 05/22/2016 6:58:13 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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