Ok, so Mormon Romney carries heavily-Mormon Utah. That would I think be the expected result; however, I don’t that means Trump couldn’t carry any states that Obama nearly lost in 2012 such as Florida, Ohio and/or Virginia.
I understand the argument, but I don’t see how it’s remotely possible for Trump to win an Obama swing state against Hillary with Romney on the ballot. He not only has to make up the difference by which Romney lost to Obama, but he would also have to add to that however many votes he loses to Romney.
To put it into numbers, let’s say Obama beat Romney 5 million to 4 million in State X. For Trump to win, he would need to first convert half a million Obama voters and/or add 1 million new voters (or combination thereof). Then let’s say Romney keeps half of his 2012 voters against Trump. Now Trump had to add to the above, another million converted Obama voters and/or add another 2 million new voters (or combination thereof). That’s to win the election by 1 vote.
That just doesn’t seem possible. Bottom line is that for a three way race to go to the House of Representatives, either Trump or Romney needs to win some major Obama swing states, and for either one on their own, that’s a tall order, but with both of them on the ballot splitting the anti-Hillary vote? Impossible.